Krka d. d Valuation

Is KRKG undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of KRKG when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: KRKG (€138.5) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€184.71)

Significantly Below Fair Value: KRKG is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for KRKG?

Key metric: As KRKG is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for KRKG. This is calculated by dividing KRKG's market cap by their current earnings.
What is KRKG's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio11.8x
Earnings€359.83m
Market Cap€4.26b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does KRKG's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for KRKG vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average55.1x
600518 Kangmei Pharmaceutical
130.2xn/aCN¥33.3b
002294 Shenzhen Salubris Pharmaceuticals
60.3x15.5%CN¥36.8b
KLBF Kalbe Farma
21.7x9.6%Rp66.9t
3320 China Resources Pharmaceutical Group
8.2x7.6%HK$33.5b
KRKG Krka d. d
11.8x4.0%€4.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: KRKG is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.8x) compared to the peer average (55.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does KRKG's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Pharmaceuticals Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
KRKG 11.8xIndustry Avg. 21.3xNo. of Companies7PE01224364860+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: KRKG is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.8x) compared to the European Pharmaceuticals industry average (21.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is KRKG's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

KRKG PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio11.8x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate KRKG's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst KRKG forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€138.50
€133.10
-3.9%
12.5%€155.00€115.00n/a6
Nov ’25€135.50
€133.10
-1.8%
12.5%€155.00€115.00n/a6
Oct ’25€135.50
€133.10
-1.8%
12.5%€155.00€115.00n/a6
Sep ’25€138.00
€131.68
-4.6%
11.4%€150.00€115.00n/a6
Aug ’25€137.50
€131.18
-4.6%
11.8%€150.00€112.00n/a6
Jul ’25€140.00
€131.22
-6.3%
11.8%€150.00€112.00n/a6
Jun ’25€130.00
€131.22
+0.9%
11.8%€150.00€112.00n/a6
May ’25€126.00
€133.64
+6.1%
11.8%€150.00€114.00n/a5
Apr ’25€128.50
€133.64
+4.0%
11.8%€150.00€114.00n/a5
Mar ’25€121.00
€133.64
+10.4%
11.8%€150.00€114.00n/a5
Feb ’25€115.00
€124.60
+8.3%
13.5%€150.00€105.50n/a5
Jan ’25€110.00
€119.60
+8.7%
9.4%€138.50€105.50n/a5
Dec ’24€107.00
€119.80
+12.0%
9.3%€138.50€105.50n/a5
Nov ’24€105.00
€119.80
+14.1%
9.3%€138.50€105.50€135.505
Oct ’24€109.50
€117.10
+6.9%
6.3%€125.00€105.50€135.505
Sep ’24€104.50
€117.10
+12.1%
6.3%€125.00€105.50€138.005
Aug ’24€114.00
€117.10
+2.7%
6.3%€125.00€105.50€137.505
Jul ’24€116.00
€115.30
-0.6%
7.5%€125.00€105.50€140.005
Jun ’24€112.00
€115.30
+2.9%
7.5%€125.00€105.50€130.005
May ’24€112.00
€112.90
+0.8%
10.5%€125.00€94.00€126.005
Apr ’24€108.00
€112.90
+4.5%
10.5%€125.00€94.00€128.505
Mar ’24€105.50
€112.90
+7.0%
10.5%€125.00€94.00€121.005
Feb ’24€107.00
€104.60
-2.2%
6.4%€115.00€94.00€115.005
Jan ’24€92.00
€104.64
+13.7%
6.4%€115.20€94.00€110.005
Dec ’23€94.00
€105.44
+12.2%
5.3%€115.20€98.00€107.005
Nov ’23€89.40
€104.18
+16.5%
6.4%€115.20€98.00€105.004

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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