Stock Analysis

Investors in Sembcorp Industries (SGX:U96) have seen enviable returns of 433% over the past five years

It hasn't been the best quarter for Sembcorp Industries Ltd (SGX:U96) shareholders, since the share price has fallen 13% in that time. But that doesn't undermine the fantastic longer term performance (measured over five years). In fact, during that period, the share price climbed 360%. Impressive! So it might be that some shareholders are taking profits after good performance. But the real question is whether the business fundamentals can improve over the long term.

Now it's worth having a look at the company's fundamentals too, because that will help us determine if the long term shareholder return has matched the performance of the underlying business.

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

During five years of share price growth, Sembcorp Industries achieved compound earnings per share (EPS) growth of 94% per year. The EPS growth is more impressive than the yearly share price gain of 36% over the same period. So it seems the market isn't so enthusiastic about the stock these days. The reasonably low P/E ratio of 10.65 also suggests market apprehension.

The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

earnings-per-share-growth
SGX:U96 Earnings Per Share Growth September 19th 2025

Dive deeper into Sembcorp Industries' key metrics by checking this interactive graph of Sembcorp Industries's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What About Dividends?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of Sembcorp Industries, it has a TSR of 433% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

A Different Perspective

Sembcorp Industries shareholders gained a total return of 16% during the year. Unfortunately this falls short of the market return. If we look back over five years, the returns are even better, coming in at 40% per year for five years. Maybe the share price is just taking a breather while the business executes on its growth strategy. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Sembcorp Industries (1 is potentially serious!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

But note: Sembcorp Industries may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Singaporean exchanges.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About SGX:U96

Sembcorp Industries

An investment holding company, engages in providing industrial and urban solutions in Singapore, the United Kingdom, China, India, rest of Asia, the Middle East, and internationally.

Proven track record and fair value.

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