Stock Analysis

Here's Why Zheneng Jinjiang Environment Holding (SGX:BWM) Is Weighed Down By Its Debt Load

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Zheneng Jinjiang Environment Holding Company Limited (SGX:BWM) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Zheneng Jinjiang Environment Holding

What Is Zheneng Jinjiang Environment Holding's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2024 Zheneng Jinjiang Environment Holding had CN¥12.1b of debt, an increase on CN¥11.3b, over one year. However, it does have CN¥649.9m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥11.5b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SGX:BWM Debt to Equity History October 25th 2024

A Look At Zheneng Jinjiang Environment Holding's Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Zheneng Jinjiang Environment Holding had liabilities of CN¥7.10b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥8.34b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥649.9m in cash and CN¥3.37b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥11.4b.

This deficit casts a shadow over the CN¥3.52b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, Zheneng Jinjiang Environment Holding would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Weak interest cover of 2.1 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 7.7 hit our confidence in Zheneng Jinjiang Environment Holding like a one-two punch to the gut. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. Even worse, Zheneng Jinjiang Environment Holding saw its EBIT tank 21% over the last 12 months. If earnings continue to follow that trajectory, paying off that debt load will be harder than convincing us to run a marathon in the rain. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Zheneng Jinjiang Environment Holding will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Looking at the most recent three years, Zheneng Jinjiang Environment Holding recorded free cash flow of 29% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

Our View

To be frank both Zheneng Jinjiang Environment Holding's EBIT growth rate and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. And furthermore, its interest cover also fails to instill confidence. We think the chances that Zheneng Jinjiang Environment Holding has too much debt a very significant. To us, that makes the stock rather risky, like walking through a dog park with your eyes closed. But some investors may feel differently. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 5 warning signs with Zheneng Jinjiang Environment Holding (at least 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About SGX:BWM

Zheneng Jinjiang Environment Holding

Engages in the generation and sale of electricity and steam in the People’s Republic of China.

Solid track record and slightly overvalued.

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