If you're looking at a mature business that's past the growth phase, what are some of the underlying trends that pop up? Typically, we'll see the trend of both return on capital employed (ROCE) declining and this usually coincides with a decreasing amount of capital employed. This indicates to us that the business is not only shrinking the size of its net assets, but its returns are falling as well. So after glancing at the trends within SIA Engineering (SGX:S59), we weren't too hopeful.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?
For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. The formula for this calculation on SIA Engineering is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.0076 = S$13m ÷ (S$2.0b - S$279m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2024).
Thus, SIA Engineering has an ROCE of 0.8%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Infrastructure industry average of 6.4%.
View our latest analysis for SIA Engineering
In the above chart we have measured SIA Engineering's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free analyst report for SIA Engineering .
The Trend Of ROCE
There is reason to be cautious about SIA Engineering, given the returns are trending downwards. To be more specific, the ROCE was 4.4% five years ago, but since then it has dropped noticeably. On top of that, it's worth noting that the amount of capital employed within the business has remained relatively steady. Since returns are falling and the business has the same amount of assets employed, this can suggest it's a mature business that hasn't had much growth in the last five years. So because these trends aren't typically conducive to creating a multi-bagger, we wouldn't hold our breath on SIA Engineering becoming one if things continue as they have.
In Conclusion...
In summary, it's unfortunate that SIA Engineering is generating lower returns from the same amount of capital. But investors must be expecting an improvement of sorts because over the last five yearsthe stock has delivered a respectable 52% return. Regardless, we don't feel too comfortable with the fundamentals so we'd be steering clear of this stock for now.
One more thing, we've spotted 1 warning sign facing SIA Engineering that you might find interesting.
While SIA Engineering isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.