Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, SIA Engineering Company Limited (SGX:S59) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for SIA Engineering
What Is SIA Engineering's Debt?
As you can see below, SIA Engineering had S$12.7m of debt at September 2020, down from S$15.7m a year prior. However, it does have S$514.9m in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of S$502.2m.
A Look At SIA Engineering's Liabilities
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that SIA Engineering had liabilities of S$223.8m falling due within a year, and liabilities of S$93.0m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of S$514.9m as well as receivables valued at S$353.9m due within 12 months. So it actually has S$552.0m more liquid assets than total liabilities.
It's good to see that SIA Engineering has plenty of liquidity on its balance sheet, suggesting conservative management of liabilities. Given it has easily adequate short term liquidity, we don't think it will have any issues with its lenders. Succinctly put, SIA Engineering boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
The modesty of its debt load may become crucial for SIA Engineering if management cannot prevent a repeat of the 91% cut to EBIT over the last year. Falling earnings (if the trend continues) could eventually make even modest debt quite risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine SIA Engineering's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. While SIA Engineering has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, SIA Engineering actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.
Summing up
While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that SIA Engineering has net cash of S$502.2m, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. The cherry on top was that in converted 129% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in S$62m. So we don't think SIA Engineering's use of debt is risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that SIA Engineering is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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About SGX:S59
SIA Engineering
Engages in the provision of maintenance, repair, and overhaul (MRO) services to airline carriers and aerospace equipment manufacturers East Asia, Europe, South West Pacific, the Americas, West Asia, and Africa.
Flawless balance sheet with moderate growth potential.