Marco Polo Marine Valuation

Is 5LY undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 5LY when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 5LY (SGD0.05) is trading below our estimate of fair value (SGD0.27)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 5LY is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 5LY?

Key metric: As 5LY is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 5LY. This is calculated by dividing 5LY's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 5LY's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio6.8x
EarningsS$29.35m
Market CapS$198.94m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 5LY's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 5LY vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average42.2x
S19 Singapore Shipping
5.9xn/aS$98.1m
S56 Samudera Shipping Line
6xn/aS$449.3m
D8DU First Ship Lease Trust
17.5xn/aS$76.0m
F83 COSCO SHIPPING International (Singapore)
139.4xn/aS$309.0m
5LY Marco Polo Marine
6.8x3.9%S$198.9m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 5LY is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.8x) compared to the peer average (42.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 5LY's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Shipping Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
5LY 6.8xIndustry Avg. 9.7xNo. of Companies19PE0612182430+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 5LY is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.8x) compared to the Asian Shipping industry average (9.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 5LY's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

5LY PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio6.8x
Fair PE Ratio9.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 5LY is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 5LY forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentS$0.053
S$0.072
+36.8%
10.3%S$0.08S$0.065n/a2
Nov ’25S$0.057
S$0.072
+27.2%
10.3%S$0.08S$0.065n/a2
Oct ’25S$0.055
S$0.075
+37.0%
9.7%S$0.081S$0.065n/a3
Sep ’25S$0.049
S$0.074
+51.0%
12.4%S$0.081S$0.061n/a3
Aug ’25S$0.058
S$0.086
+47.7%
4.3%S$0.09S$0.081n/a3
Jul ’25S$0.057
S$0.085
+49.1%
3.5%S$0.088S$0.081n/a3
Jun ’25S$0.068
S$0.085
+25.0%
3.5%S$0.088S$0.081n/a3
May ’25S$0.07
S$0.085
+21.4%
3.5%S$0.088S$0.081n/a3
Apr ’25S$0.063
S$0.082
+30.7%
8.1%S$0.088S$0.073n/a3
Mar ’25S$0.055
S$0.071
+30.0%
2.1%S$0.073S$0.07n/a2
Feb ’25S$0.052
S$0.068
+30.8%
2.9%S$0.07S$0.066n/a2
Jan ’25S$0.051
S$0.068
+33.3%
2.9%S$0.07S$0.066n/a2
Jun ’24S$0.05
S$0.054
+8.0%
11.1%S$0.06S$0.048S$0.0682
Mar ’24S$0.043
S$0.049
+14.0%
2.0%S$0.05S$0.048S$0.0552
Feb ’24S$0.042
S$0.049
+16.7%
2.0%S$0.05S$0.048S$0.0522
Jan ’24S$0.041
S$0.049
+19.5%
2.0%S$0.05S$0.048S$0.0512
Dec ’23S$0.043
S$0.046
+8.1%
7.5%S$0.05S$0.043S$0.0482
Nov ’23S$0.038
S$0.046
+22.4%
7.5%S$0.05S$0.043S$0.0512

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.


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