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These 4 Measures Indicate That NetLink NBN Trust (SGX:CJLU) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies NetLink NBN Trust (SGX:CJLU) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for NetLink NBN Trust
How Much Debt Does NetLink NBN Trust Carry?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2020 NetLink NBN Trust had S$668.5m of debt, an increase on S$637.7m, over one year. However, it also had S$177.0m in cash, and so its net debt is S$491.5m.
How Healthy Is NetLink NBN Trust's Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that NetLink NBN Trust had liabilities of S$105.7m falling due within a year, and liabilities of S$1.22b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of S$177.0m and S$67.4m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling S$1.08b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since NetLink NBN Trust has a market capitalization of S$3.80b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
NetLink NBN Trust's net debt is sitting at a very reasonable 1.8 times its EBITDA, while its EBIT covered its interest expense just 5.9 times last year. In large part that's due to the company's significant depreciation and amortisation charges, which arguably mean its EBITDA is a very generous measure of earnings, and its debt may be more of a burden than it first appears. We saw NetLink NBN Trust grow its EBIT by 9.3% in the last twelve months. Whilst that hardly knocks our socks off it is a positive when it comes to debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if NetLink NBN Trust can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, NetLink NBN Trust actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.
Our View
The good news is that NetLink NBN Trust's demonstrated ability to convert EBIT to free cash flow delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. And its EBIT growth rate is good too. All these things considered, it appears that NetLink NBN Trust can comfortably handle its current debt levels. On the plus side, this leverage can boost shareholder returns, but the potential downside is more risk of loss, so it's worth monitoring the balance sheet. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for NetLink NBN Trust you should be aware of.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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About SGX:CJLU
NetLink NBN Trust
Owns, designs, builds, and operates the passive fibre network infrastructure for residential homes and non-residential premises, and non-building address point (NBAP) connections in mainland Singapore and its connected islands.
Adequate balance sheet and slightly overvalued.