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Does The Market Have A Low Tolerance For NetLink NBN Trust's (SGX:CJLU) Mixed Fundamentals?
NetLink NBN Trust (SGX:CJLU) has had a rough three months with its share price down 2.1%. It is possible that the markets have ignored the company's differing financials and decided to lean-in to the negative sentiment. Fundamentals usually dictate market outcomes so it makes sense to study the company's financials. Particularly, we will be paying attention to NetLink NBN Trust's ROE today.
Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors’ money. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.
Check out our latest analysis for NetLink NBN Trust
How To Calculate Return On Equity?
The formula for ROE is:
Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity
So, based on the above formula, the ROE for NetLink NBN Trust is:
2.8% = S$79m ÷ S$2.9b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2020).
The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. One way to conceptualize this is that for each SGD1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made SGD0.03 in profit.
Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?
So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.
NetLink NBN Trust's Earnings Growth And 2.8% ROE
As you can see, NetLink NBN Trust's ROE looks pretty weak. Even compared to the average industry ROE of 9.6%, the company's ROE is quite dismal. Although, we can see that NetLink NBN Trust saw a modest net income growth of 8.6% over the past five years. We reckon that there could be other factors at play here. For example, it is possible that the company's management has made some good strategic decisions, or that the company has a low payout ratio.
We then compared NetLink NBN Trust's net income growth with the industry and we're pleased to see that the company's growth figure is higher when compared with the industry which has a growth rate of 6.3% in the same period.
Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Has the market priced in the future outlook for CJLU? You can find out in our latest intrinsic value infographic research report.
Is NetLink NBN Trust Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?
The really high three-year median payout ratio of 250% for NetLink NBN Trust suggests that the company is paying its shareholders more than what it is earning. Still the company's earnings have grown respectably. It would still be worth keeping an eye on that high payout ratio, if for some reason the company runs into problems and business deteriorates.
Additionally, NetLink NBN Trust has paid dividends over a period of three years which means that the company is pretty serious about sharing its profits with shareholders. Based on the latest analysts' estimates, we found that the company's future payout ratio over the next three years is expected to hold steady at 209%. However, NetLink NBN Trust's ROE is predicted to rise to 3.6% despite there being no anticipated change in its payout ratio.
Summary
On the whole, we feel that the performance shown by NetLink NBN Trust can be open to many interpretations. Although the company has shown a pretty impressive growth in earnings, yet the low ROE and the low rate of reinvestment makes us skeptical about the continuity of that growth, especially when or if the business comes to face any threats. That being so, a study of the latest analyst forecasts show that the company is expected to see a slowdown in its future earnings growth. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.
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About SGX:CJLU
NetLink NBN Trust
Owns, designs, builds, and operates the passive fibre network infrastructure for residential homes and non-residential premises, and non-building address point (NBAP) connections in mainland Singapore and its connected islands.
Adequate balance sheet and slightly overvalued.