Stock Analysis

Even With A 89% Surge, Cautious Investors Are Not Rewarding GRP Limited's (SGX:BLU) Performance Completely

SGX:BLU
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GRP Limited (SGX:BLU) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 89% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 25% in the last twelve months.

Even after such a large jump in price, it's still not a stretch to say that GRP's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.5x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Electronic industry in Singapore, seeing as it matches the P/S ratio of the wider industry. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

View our latest analysis for GRP

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SGX:BLU Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 12th 2024

How GRP Has Been Performing

The revenue growth achieved at GRP over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to only keep up with the broader industry, which has keeping the P/S in line with expectations. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders probably aren't too pessimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on GRP will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For GRP?

GRP's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 25%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 100% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

When compared to the industry's one-year growth forecast of 16%, the most recent medium-term revenue trajectory is noticeably more alluring

With this information, we find it interesting that GRP is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance is at its limits and have been accepting lower selling prices.

The Final Word

Its shares have lifted substantially and now GRP's P/S is back within range of the industry median. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

To our surprise, GRP revealed its three-year revenue trends aren't contributing to its P/S as much as we would have predicted, given they look better than current industry expectations. There could be some unobserved threats to revenue preventing the P/S ratio from matching this positive performance. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued if recent medium-term revenue trends continue, but investors seem to think future revenue could see some volatility.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 3 warning signs for GRP that you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of GRP's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether GRP is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.