Stock Analysis

Investors Can Find Comfort In Powermatic Data Systems' (SGX:BCY) Earnings Quality

SGX:BCY
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Powermatic Data Systems Limited's (SGX:BCY) stock was strong despite it releasing a soft earnings report last week. Our analysis suggests that investors may have noticed some promising signs beyond the statutory profit figures.

Check out our latest analysis for Powermatic Data Systems

earnings-and-revenue-history
SGX:BCY Earnings and Revenue History July 11th 2024

Examining Cashflow Against Powermatic Data Systems' Earnings

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

Powermatic Data Systems has an accrual ratio of -0.11 for the year to March 2024. Therefore, its statutory earnings were quite a lot less than its free cashflow. In fact, it had free cash flow of S$6.0m in the last year, which was a lot more than its statutory profit of S$4.19m. Powermatic Data Systems did see its free cash flow drop year on year, which is less than ideal, like a Simpson's episode without Groundskeeper Willie. Having said that, there is more to the story. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Powermatic Data Systems.

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

Powermatic Data Systems' profit was reduced by unusual items worth S$6.7m in the last twelve months, and this helped it produce high cash conversion, as reflected by its unusual items. In a scenario where those unusual items included non-cash charges, we'd expect to see a strong accrual ratio, which is exactly what has happened in this case. While deductions due to unusual items are disappointing in the first instance, there is a silver lining. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And that's hardly a surprise given these line items are considered unusual. Powermatic Data Systems took a rather significant hit from unusual items in the year to March 2024. All else being equal, this would likely have the effect of making the statutory profit look worse than its underlying earnings power.

Our Take On Powermatic Data Systems' Profit Performance

Considering both Powermatic Data Systems' accrual ratio and its unusual items, we think its statutory earnings are unlikely to exaggerate the company's underlying earnings power. Based on these factors, we think Powermatic Data Systems' underlying earnings potential is as good as, or probably even better, than the statutory profit makes it seem! If you want to do dive deeper into Powermatic Data Systems, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. For instance, we've identified 5 warning signs for Powermatic Data Systems (1 is a bit concerning) you should be familiar with.

After our examination into the nature of Powermatic Data Systems' profit, we've come away optimistic for the company. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.