Stock Analysis

Casa Holdings (SGX:C04) Has Debt But No Earnings; Should You Worry?

SGX:C04
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Casa Holdings Limited (SGX:C04) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Casa Holdings

How Much Debt Does Casa Holdings Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Casa Holdings had debt of S$27.9m at the end of September 2023, a reduction from S$31.5m over a year. However, it does have S$2.99m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about S$24.9m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SGX:C04 Debt to Equity History January 6th 2024

How Strong Is Casa Holdings' Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Casa Holdings had liabilities of S$8.22m due within 12 months and liabilities of S$28.8m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of S$2.99m and S$4.15m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by S$29.9m.

This deficit casts a shadow over the S$15.7m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. At the end of the day, Casa Holdings would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Casa Holdings's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Over 12 months, Casa Holdings reported revenue of S$23m, which is a gain of 8.2%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. We usually like to see faster growth from unprofitable companies, but each to their own.

Caveat Emptor

Importantly, Casa Holdings had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at S$1.1m. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above make us nervous about the company. We'd want to see some strong near-term improvements before getting too interested in the stock. Not least because it had negative free cash flow of S$257k over the last twelve months. That means it's on the risky side of things. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 5 warning signs for Casa Holdings (3 shouldn't be ignored) you should be aware of.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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Find out whether Casa Holdings is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.