While Frasers Property Limited (SGX:TQ5) might not be the most widely known stock at the moment, it maintained its current share price over the past couple of month on the SGX, with a relatively tight range of S$1.04 to S$1.13. However, does this price actually reflect the true value of the mid-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Frasers Property’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.
See our latest analysis for Frasers Property
What's the opportunity in Frasers Property?
Great news for investors – Frasers Property is still trading at a fairly cheap price according to my price multiple model, where I compare the company's price-to-earnings ratio to the industry average. In this instance, I’ve used the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio given that there is not enough information to reliably forecast the stock’s cash flows. I find that Frasers Property’s ratio of 5.52x is below its peer average of 10.6x, which indicates the stock is trading at a lower price compared to the Real Estate industry. What’s more interesting is that, Frasers Property’s share price is quite stable, which could mean two things: firstly, it may take the share price a while to move closer to its industry peers, and secondly, there may be less chances to buy low in the future once it reaches that value. This is because the stock is less volatile than the wider market given its low beta.
What does the future of Frasers Property look like?
Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. However, with an extremely negative double-digit change in profit expected over the next couple of years, near-term growth is certainly not a driver of a buy decision. It seems like high uncertainty is on the cards for Frasers Property, at least in the near future.
What this means for you:
Are you a shareholder? Although TQ5 is currently trading below the industry PE ratio, the negative profit outlook does bring on some uncertainty, which equates to higher risk. I recommend you think about whether you want to increase your portfolio exposure to TQ5, or whether diversifying into another stock may be a better move for your total risk and return.
Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on TQ5 for a while, but hesitant on making the leap, I recommend you dig deeper into the stock. Given its current price multiple, now is a great time to make a decision. But keep in mind the risks that come with negative growth prospects in the future.
With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. To help with this, we've discovered 3 warning signs (2 are significant!) that you ought to be aware of before buying any shares in Frasers Property.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SGX:TQ5
Frasers Property
An investment holding company, develops, invests in, and manages a portfolio of real estate properties.
Good value with acceptable track record.