David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Pan Hong Holdings Group Limited (SGX:P36) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
What Is Pan Hong Holdings Group's Debt?
As you can see below, at the end of March 2025, Pan Hong Holdings Group had CN¥118.2m of debt, up from CN¥102.8m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. On the flip side, it has CN¥29.5m in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥88.7m.
How Strong Is Pan Hong Holdings Group's Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Pan Hong Holdings Group had liabilities of CN¥814.1m falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥62.0m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥29.5m in cash and CN¥93.7m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥753.0m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
The deficiency here weighs heavily on the CN¥206.5m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, Pan Hong Holdings Group would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.
View our latest analysis for Pan Hong Holdings Group
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
Pan Hong Holdings Group's net debt to EBITDA ratio of about 2.4 suggests only moderate use of debt. And its strong interest cover of 13.5 times, makes us even more comfortable. Shareholders should be aware that Pan Hong Holdings Group's EBIT was down 49% last year. If that earnings trend continues then paying off its debt will be about as easy as herding cats on to a roller coaster. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Pan Hong Holdings Group's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, Pan Hong Holdings Group actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last two years. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.
Our View
On the face of it, Pan Hong Holdings Group's EBIT growth rate left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But at least it's pretty decent at covering its interest expense with its EBIT; that's encouraging. Overall, we think it's fair to say that Pan Hong Holdings Group has enough debt that there are some real risks around the balance sheet. If everything goes well that may pay off but the downside of this debt is a greater risk of permanent losses. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Pan Hong Holdings Group is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 2 of those are potentially serious...
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SGX:P36
Pan Hong Holdings Group
An investment holding company, engages in the development of residential and commercial properties in the second and third-tier cities in the People’s Republic of China.
Adequate balance sheet slight.
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