City Developments Valuation

Is C09 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of C09 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: C09 (SGD5.26) is trading above our estimate of fair value (SGD3.77)

Significantly Below Fair Value: C09 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for C09?

Key metric: As C09 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for C09. This is calculated by dividing C09's market cap by their current earnings.
What is C09's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio14.3x
EarningsS$327.54m
Market CapS$4.70b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does C09's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for C09 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average16.2x
U14 UOL Group
6.5x-31.6%S$4.5b
U06 Singapore Land Group
12.3xn/aS$2.5b
O10 Far East Orchard
6.6xn/aS$503.8m
F1E Low Keng Huat (Singapore)
39.2xn/aS$240.1m
C09 City Developments
14.3x14.5%S$4.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: C09 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.3x) compared to the peer average (16.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does C09's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the SG Real Estate Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
AZA IPC
1.9xn/aUS$6.52m
No more companies available in this PE range
C09 14.3xIndustry Avg. 12.9xNo. of Companies4PE01020304050+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: C09 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.3x) compared to the SG Real Estate industry average (12.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is C09's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

C09 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio14.3x
Fair PE Ratio17.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: C09 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst C09 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentS$5.26
S$7.02
+33.5%
24.1%S$10.50S$5.00n/a13
Nov ’25S$5.22
S$7.02
+34.5%
24.1%S$10.50S$5.00n/a13
Oct ’25S$5.44
S$7.02
+29.1%
24.1%S$10.50S$5.00n/a13
Sep ’25S$5.23
S$7.07
+35.3%
23.2%S$10.50S$5.00n/a13
Aug ’25S$5.34
S$7.35
+37.6%
21.4%S$10.50S$5.40n/a12
Jul ’25S$5.25
S$7.40
+41.0%
20.6%S$10.50S$5.40n/a12
Jun ’25S$5.61
S$7.46
+33.0%
20.5%S$10.50S$5.40n/a12
May ’25S$6.15
S$7.54
+22.6%
19.7%S$10.50S$5.40n/a13
Apr ’25S$5.85
S$7.54
+28.9%
19.7%S$10.50S$5.40n/a13
Mar ’25S$5.70
S$7.75
+35.9%
20.2%S$10.50S$5.70n/a14
Feb ’25S$5.91
S$7.68
+29.9%
15.7%S$10.45S$5.70n/a13
Jan ’25S$6.65
S$7.90
+18.8%
17.1%S$10.50S$5.70n/a14
Dec ’24S$6.18
S$7.90
+27.8%
17.1%S$10.50S$5.70n/a14
Nov ’24S$6.34
S$8.30
+30.9%
13.8%S$10.50S$6.66S$5.2215
Oct ’24S$6.61
S$8.29
+25.4%
13.5%S$10.50S$6.66S$5.4415
Sep ’24S$6.68
S$8.40
+25.7%
14.3%S$10.50S$6.66S$5.2315
Aug ’24S$7.41
S$8.58
+15.8%
14.2%S$10.50S$6.60S$5.3415
Jul ’24S$6.72
S$8.58
+27.6%
14.2%S$10.50S$6.60S$5.2515
Jun ’24S$6.78
S$8.61
+27.0%
14.1%S$10.50S$6.60S$5.6115
May ’24S$6.95
S$8.84
+27.1%
13.7%S$10.50S$6.68S$6.1515
Apr ’24S$7.37
S$9.28
+26.0%
8.7%S$10.50S$7.45S$5.8515
Mar ’24S$7.77
S$9.37
+20.6%
8.6%S$10.50S$7.45S$5.7016
Feb ’24S$8.35
S$9.50
+13.8%
7.5%S$10.50S$7.45S$5.9116
Jan ’24S$8.23
S$9.47
+15.1%
7.3%S$10.50S$7.45S$6.6516
Dec ’23S$8.31
S$9.47
+14.0%
7.3%S$10.50S$7.45S$6.1816
Nov ’23S$7.83
S$9.47
+21.0%
7.3%S$10.50S$7.45S$6.3416

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


Discover undervalued companies