Stock Analysis

    Tread With Caution Around Singapore Press Holdings Limited's (SGX:T39) 1.5% Dividend Yield

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    Dividend paying stocks like Singapore Press Holdings Limited (SGX:T39) tend to be popular with investors, and for good reason - some research suggests a significant amount of all stock market returns come from reinvested dividends. Yet sometimes, investors buy a popular dividend stock because of its yield, and then lose money if the company's dividend doesn't live up to expectations.

    A 1.5% yield is nothing to get excited about, but investors probably think the long payment history suggests Singapore Press Holdings has some staying power. Some simple analysis can offer a lot of insights when buying a company for its dividend, and we'll go through this below.

    Click the interactive chart for our full dividend analysis

    historic-dividend
    SGX:T39 Historic Dividend March 18th 2021

    Payout ratios

    Dividends are typically paid from company earnings. If a company pays more in dividends than it earned, then the dividend might become unsustainable - hardly an ideal situation. So we need to form a view on if a company's dividend is sustainable, relative to its net profit after tax. Although Singapore Press Holdings pays a dividend, it was loss-making during the past year. When a company recently reported a loss, we should investigate if its cash flows covered the dividend.

    Singapore Press Holdings paid out 66% of its cash flow as dividends last year, which is within a reasonable range for the average corporation.

    We update our data on Singapore Press Holdings every 24 hours, so you can always get our latest analysis of its financial health, here.

    Dividend Volatility

    One of the major risks of relying on dividend income, is the potential for a company to struggle financially and cut its dividend. Not only is your income cut, but the value of your investment declines as well - nasty. Singapore Press Holdings has been paying dividends for a long time, but for the purpose of this analysis, we only examine the past 10 years of payments. The dividend has been cut on at least one occasion historically. During the past 10-year period, the first annual payment was S$0.3 in 2011, compared to S$0.02 last year. The dividend has fallen 92% over that period.

    We struggle to make a case for buying Singapore Press Holdings for its dividend, given that payments have shrunk over the past 10 years.

    Dividend Growth Potential

    With a relatively unstable dividend, and a poor history of shrinking dividends, it's even more important to see if EPS are growing. Singapore Press Holdings' EPS have fallen by approximately 16% per year during the past five years. With this kind of significant decline, we always wonder what has changed in the business. Dividends are about stability, and Singapore Press Holdings' earnings per share, which support the dividend, have been anything but stable.

    We'd also point out that Singapore Press Holdings issued a meaningful number of new shares in the past year. Regularly issuing new shares can be detrimental - it's hard to grow dividends per share when new shares are regularly being created.

    Conclusion

    To summarise, shareholders should always check that Singapore Press Holdings' dividends are affordable, that its dividend payments are relatively stable, and that it has decent prospects for growing its earnings and dividend. We're a bit uncomfortable with the company paying a dividend while being loss-making, although at least the dividend was covered by free cash flow. Earnings per share have been falling, and the company has cut its dividend at least once in the past. From a dividend perspective, this is a cause for concern. Using these criteria, Singapore Press Holdings looks quite suboptimal from a dividend investment perspective.

    Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. For instance, we've picked out 1 warning sign for Singapore Press Holdings that investors should take into consideration.

    Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our curated list of dividend stocks with a yield above 3%.

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    This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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