mm2 Asia Ltd.'s (SGX:1B0) Shares Leap 50% Yet They're Still Not Telling The Full Story
mm2 Asia Ltd. (SGX:1B0) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 50% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. But the last month did very little to improve the 82% share price decline over the last year.
Although its price has surged higher, considering around half the companies operating in Singapore's Entertainment industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 1.4x, you may still consider mm2 Asia as an solid investment opportunity with its 0.1x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
See our latest analysis for mm2 Asia
How mm2 Asia Has Been Performing
For instance, mm2 Asia's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/S is low because investors think the company won't do enough to avoid underperforming the broader industry in the near future. Those who are bullish on mm2 Asia will be hoping that this isn't the case so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on mm2 Asia's earnings, revenue and cash flow.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as mm2 Asia's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 17% decrease to the company's top line. Even so, admirably revenue has lifted 98% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.
Weighing that recent medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 25% shows it's about the same on an annualised basis.
With this information, we find it odd that mm2 Asia is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Apparently some shareholders are more bearish than recent times would indicate and have been accepting lower selling prices.
The Final Word
Despite mm2 Asia's share price climbing recently, its P/S still lags most other companies. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
The fact that mm2 Asia currently trades at a low P/S relative to the industry is unexpected considering its recent three-year growth is in line with the wider industry forecast. When we see industry-like revenue growth but a lower than expected P/S, we assume potential risks are what might be placing downward pressure on the share price. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued if recent medium-term revenue trends continue, but investors seem to think future revenue could see some volatility.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for mm2 Asia (2 are a bit concerning) you should be aware of.
If you're unsure about the strength of mm2 Asia's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.