Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies NSL Ltd (SGX:N02) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
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What Is NSL's Net Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that NSL had debt of S$23.1m at the end of June 2023, a reduction from S$27.9m over a year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds S$254.4m in cash, so it actually has S$231.3m net cash.
How Healthy Is NSL's Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that NSL had liabilities of S$90.9m due within 12 months and liabilities of S$40.6m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had S$254.4m in cash and S$103.6m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it can boast S$226.5m more liquid assets than total liabilities.
This surplus liquidity suggests that NSL's balance sheet could take a hit just as well as Homer Simpson's head can take a punch. With this in mind one could posit that its balance sheet means the company is able to handle some adversity. Succinctly put, NSL boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
Better yet, NSL grew its EBIT by 176% last year, which is an impressive improvement. If maintained that growth will make the debt even more manageable in the years ahead. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is NSL's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. NSL may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the last two years, NSL actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.
Summing Up
While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case NSL has S$231.3m in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. And it impressed us with free cash flow of S$39m, being 109% of its EBIT. At the end of the day we're not concerned about NSL's debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 4 warning signs for NSL that you should be aware of before investing here.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SGX:N02
NSL
An investment holding company, engages in the manufacture and sale of building materials in Singapore, Malaysia, the United Arab Emirates, Finland, Norway, Germany, and internationally.
Excellent balance sheet and slightly overvalued.