Wilmar International Limited

SGX:F34 Stock Report

Market Cap: S$19.2b

Wilmar International Valuation

Is F34 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of F34 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: F34 (SGD3.08) is trading below our estimate of fair value (SGD4.94)

Significantly Below Fair Value: F34 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for F34?

Key metric: As F34 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for F34. This is calculated by dividing F34's market cap by their current earnings.
What is F34's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio9.2x
EarningsUS$1.55b
Market CapUS$14.26b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does F34's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for F34 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average11.5x
E5H Golden Agri-Resources
15.4x27.8%S$3.5b
EB5 First Resources
9.6x5.8%S$2.3b
P8Z Bumitama Agri
8.1x4.0%S$1.5b
Y92 Thai Beverage
12.7x6.7%S$13.2b
F34 Wilmar International
9.2x5.9%S$19.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: F34 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.2x) compared to the peer average (11.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does F34's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Food Industry?

26 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
F34 9.2xIndustry Avg. 16.7xNo. of Companies111PE01224364860+
26 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: F34 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.2x) compared to the Asian Food industry average (16.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is F34's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

F34 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio9.2x
Fair PE Ratio11.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: F34 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst F34 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentS$3.08
S$3.34
+8.5%
13.1%S$3.85S$2.15n/a13
Nov ’25S$3.08
S$3.34
+8.4%
13.2%S$3.81S$2.13n/a13
Oct ’25S$3.25
S$3.32
+2.1%
14.7%S$4.22S$2.04n/a13
Sep ’25S$3.14
S$3.41
+8.5%
14.7%S$4.23S$2.07n/a14
Aug ’25S$3.17
S$3.74
+18.1%
14.7%S$4.63S$2.31n/a14
Jul ’25S$3.09
S$3.74
+21.1%
14.5%S$4.67S$2.33n/a15
Jun ’25S$3.09
S$3.75
+21.4%
14.5%S$4.65S$2.32n/a15
May ’25S$3.23
S$3.83
+18.5%
14.2%S$4.70S$2.34n/a14
Apr ’25S$3.43
S$3.79
+10.5%
14.4%S$4.60S$2.29n/a14
Mar ’25S$3.33
S$3.80
+14.2%
14.3%S$4.62S$2.30n/a14
Feb ’25S$3.29
S$3.97
+20.6%
14.9%S$4.61S$2.30n/a14
Jan ’25S$3.57
S$3.99
+11.7%
13.0%S$4.54S$2.54n/a13
Dec ’24S$3.61
S$3.97
+10.0%
13.0%S$4.48S$2.53n/a12
Nov ’24S$3.59
S$4.03
+12.3%
12.8%S$4.58S$2.58S$3.0812
Oct ’24S$3.73
S$4.31
+15.4%
15.0%S$5.44S$2.59S$3.2513
Sep ’24S$3.78
S$4.50
+19.1%
10.8%S$5.41S$3.90S$3.1413
Aug ’24S$3.85
S$4.81
+24.9%
10.4%S$5.43S$3.94S$3.1713
Jul ’24S$3.80
S$5.13
+35.0%
11.6%S$6.69S$4.14S$3.0915
Jun ’24S$3.88
S$5.14
+32.4%
12.0%S$6.79S$4.10S$3.0915
May ’24S$3.93
S$5.12
+30.2%
10.5%S$6.69S$4.30S$3.2315
Apr ’24S$4.21
S$5.17
+22.8%
9.9%S$6.72S$4.32S$3.4315
Mar ’24S$3.93
S$5.18
+31.7%
9.9%S$6.72S$4.32S$3.3315
Feb ’24S$4.09
S$5.09
+24.4%
11.2%S$6.58S$3.97S$3.2915
Jan ’24S$4.17
S$5.01
+20.1%
7.4%S$5.63S$4.07S$3.5713
Dec ’23S$4.10
S$5.05
+23.1%
8.7%S$5.78S$4.08S$3.6113
Nov ’23S$3.88
S$5.26
+35.5%
8.7%S$6.05S$4.27S$3.5913

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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