China Aviation Oil (Singapore) Corporation Ltd

SGX:G92 Stock Report

Market Cap: S$765.6m

China Aviation Oil (Singapore) Valuation

Is G92 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of G92 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: G92 (SGD0.89) is trading below our estimate of fair value (SGD2.33)

Significantly Below Fair Value: G92 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for G92?

Key metric: As G92 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for G92. This is calculated by dividing G92's market cap by their current earnings.
What is G92's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio7x
EarningsUS$81.52m
Market CapUS$570.09m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does G92's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for G92 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average8.1x
RE4 Geo Energy Resources
4.9x72.0%S$371.5m
NO4 Dyna-Mac Holdings
14.7x16.1%S$837.5m
T13 RH PetroGas
9.9x-25.9%S$128.6m
C9Q Sinostar PEC Holdings
2.8xn/aS$84.5m
G92 China Aviation Oil (Singapore)
7x3.3%S$761.3m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: G92 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7x) compared to the peer average (8.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does G92's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Oil and Gas Industry?

7 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
G92 7.0xIndustry Avg. 10.5xNo. of Companies37PE0816243240+
7 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: G92 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7x) compared to the Asian Oil and Gas industry average (10.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is G92's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

G92 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio7x
Fair PE Ratio7.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: G92 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst G92 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentS$0.89
S$1.13
+27.4%
6.5%S$1.20S$1.05n/a2
Nov ’25S$0.91
S$1.13
+24.6%
6.5%S$1.20S$1.05n/a2
Oct ’25S$0.91
S$1.13
+23.9%
6.5%S$1.20S$1.05n/a2
Sep ’25S$0.86
S$1.13
+31.1%
6.5%S$1.20S$1.05n/a2
Aug ’25S$0.88
S$1.10
+25.6%
5.0%S$1.16S$1.05n/a2
Jul ’25S$0.85
S$1.10
+30.0%
5.0%S$1.16S$1.05n/a2
Jun ’25S$0.88
S$1.10
+26.3%
5.0%S$1.16S$1.05n/a2
May ’25S$0.93
S$1.10
+18.8%
5.0%S$1.16S$1.05n/a2
Apr ’25S$0.93
S$1.10
+18.8%
5.0%S$1.16S$1.05n/a2
Mar ’25S$0.91
S$1.08
+18.9%
7.8%S$1.16S$0.99n/a2
Feb ’25S$0.87
S$1.06
+22.0%
7.4%S$1.14S$0.98n/a2
Jan ’25S$0.88
S$1.08
+23.9%
6.7%S$1.16S$1.01n/a2
Dec ’24S$0.85
S$1.08
+26.7%
6.7%S$1.16S$1.01n/a2
Nov ’24S$0.82
S$1.08
+32.2%
6.7%S$1.16S$1.01S$0.912

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.


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