David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Hotel Properties Limited (SGX:H15) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
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What Is Hotel Properties's Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2021 Hotel Properties had debt of S$1.18b, up from S$990.0m in one year. On the flip side, it has S$85.1m in cash leading to net debt of about S$1.10b.
How Strong Is Hotel Properties' Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Hotel Properties had liabilities of S$152.5m falling due within a year, and liabilities of S$1.24b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of S$85.1m and S$171.9m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total S$1.14b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of S$1.80b. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Hotel Properties will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Over 12 months, Hotel Properties made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to S$284m, which is a fall of 33%. To be frank that doesn't bode well.
Caveat Emptor
Not only did Hotel Properties's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). To be specific the EBIT loss came in at S$35m. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. Another cause for caution is that is bled S$54m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So suffice it to say we do consider the stock to be risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Hotel Properties that you should be aware of.
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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Access Free AnalysisThis article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About SGX:H15
Hotel Properties
An investment holding company, owns, manages, and operates hotels in Singapore and internationally.
Solid track record and slightly overvalued.