Sheng Siong Group Valuation

Is OV8 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of OV8 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: OV8 (SGD1.63) is trading below our estimate of fair value (SGD3.73)

Significantly Below Fair Value: OV8 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for OV8?

Key metric: As OV8 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for OV8. This is calculated by dividing OV8's market cap by their current earnings.
What is OV8's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio17.2x
EarningsS$142.57m
Market CapS$2.45b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does OV8's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for OV8 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average21.1x
D01 DFI Retail Group Holdings
26.6x23.7%US$3.2b
VC2 Olam Group
17.9xn/aS$4.4b
NWC North West
19.3xn/aCA$2.6b
WMK Weis Markets
20.8xn/aUS$2.0b
OV8 Sheng Siong Group
17.2x2.4%S$2.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: OV8 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.2x) compared to the peer average (21.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does OV8's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Consumer Retailing Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
OV8 17.2xIndustry Avg. 16.5xNo. of Companies31PE01224364860+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: OV8 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.2x) compared to the Asian Consumer Retailing industry average (16.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is OV8's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

OV8 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio17.2x
Fair PE Ratio14.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: OV8 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst OV8 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentS$1.63
S$1.84
+13.1%
5.1%S$2.00S$1.74n/a6
Nov ’25S$1.60
S$1.84
+15.2%
5.1%S$2.00S$1.74n/a6
Oct ’25S$1.54
S$1.80
+16.7%
5.3%S$1.90S$1.66n/a6
Sep ’25S$1.51
S$1.77
+17.0%
6.5%S$1.90S$1.62n/a6
Aug ’25S$1.53
S$1.77
+15.5%
6.5%S$1.90S$1.62n/a6
Jul ’25S$1.49
S$1.74
+16.7%
10.6%S$1.96S$1.43n/a6
Jun ’25S$1.49
S$1.74
+16.7%
10.6%S$1.96S$1.43n/a6
May ’25S$1.55
S$1.74
+12.2%
10.6%S$1.96S$1.43n/a6
Apr ’25S$1.52
S$1.74
+14.4%
10.6%S$1.96S$1.43n/a6
Mar ’25S$1.54
S$1.75
+13.9%
11.3%S$1.97S$1.43n/a6
Feb ’25S$1.55
S$1.85
+19.6%
6.8%S$1.99S$1.62n/a6
Jan ’25S$1.60
S$1.85
+15.8%
6.8%S$1.99S$1.62n/a6
Dec ’24S$1.57
S$1.85
+18.0%
6.8%S$1.99S$1.62n/a6
Nov ’24S$1.55
S$1.85
+19.6%
6.8%S$1.99S$1.62S$1.606
Oct ’24S$1.52
S$1.91
+25.7%
3.9%S$1.98S$1.76S$1.546
Sep ’24S$1.52
S$1.91
+25.7%
3.9%S$1.98S$1.76S$1.516
Aug ’24S$1.61
S$1.91
+18.6%
3.9%S$1.98S$1.76S$1.536
Jul ’24S$1.64
S$1.95
+18.7%
2.9%S$2.04S$1.88S$1.496
Jun ’24S$1.61
S$1.94
+20.5%
2.4%S$2.00S$1.88S$1.496
May ’24S$1.77
S$1.91
+7.7%
3.4%S$2.00S$1.79S$1.557
Apr ’24S$1.69
S$1.91
+12.8%
3.4%S$2.00S$1.79S$1.527
Mar ’24S$1.66
S$1.89
+13.9%
3.1%S$2.00S$1.79S$1.547
Feb ’24S$1.64
S$1.86
+13.2%
3.1%S$1.92S$1.76S$1.557
Jan ’24S$1.65
S$1.86
+12.6%
2.8%S$1.92S$1.78S$1.607
Dec ’23S$1.64
S$1.84
+11.9%
3.0%S$1.91S$1.76S$1.577
Nov ’23S$1.59
S$1.84
+15.5%
3.0%S$1.91S$1.76S$1.557

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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