Stock Analysis

Earnings Working Against Thunderful Group AB's (STO:THUNDR) Share Price Following 34% Dive

OM:THUNDR
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Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Thunderful Group AB (STO:THUNDR) share price has dived 34% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 80% share price decline.

Since its price has dipped substantially, Thunderful Group's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 2.1x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the market in Sweden, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 23x and even P/E's above 40x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

Thunderful Group certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings more than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for Thunderful Group

pe-multiple-vs-industry
OM:THUNDR Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry February 16th 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Thunderful Group.

Does Growth Match The Low P/E?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the market for P/E ratios like Thunderful Group's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 165% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 136% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should bring diminished returns, with earnings decreasing 12% as estimated by the sole analyst watching the company. Meanwhile, the broader market is forecast to expand by 27%, which paints a poor picture.

With this information, we are not surprised that Thunderful Group is trading at a P/E lower than the market. However, shrinking earnings are unlikely to lead to a stable P/E over the longer term. There's potential for the P/E to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its profitability.

The Bottom Line On Thunderful Group's P/E

Thunderful Group's P/E looks about as weak as its stock price lately. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've established that Thunderful Group maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast for sliding earnings, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

Plus, you should also learn about these 2 warning signs we've spotted with Thunderful Group.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Thunderful Group. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Thunderful Group is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.