Nokia Oyj Valuation

Is NOKIA SEK undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of NOKIA SEK when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
SEK 47.10
Fair Value
7.2% overvalued intrinsic discount
23
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: NOKIA SEK (SEK50.51) is trading above our estimate of fair value (SEK47.1)

Significantly Below Fair Value: NOKIA SEK is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for NOKIA SEK?

Key metric: As NOKIA SEK is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for NOKIA SEK. This is calculated by dividing NOKIA SEK's market cap by their current earnings.
What is NOKIA SEK's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio26x
Earnings€914.00m
Market Cap€23.73b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does NOKIA SEK's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for NOKIA SEK vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average42.2x
HMS HMS Networks
60x41.1%SEK 20.8b
HEXA B Hexagon
26.1x11.0%SEK 303.2b
NETI B Net Insight
28.9x22.5%SEK 2.4b
LUMEN LumenRadio
53.7xn/aSEK 1.3b
NOKIA SEK Nokia Oyj
26x17.2%SEK 23.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: NOKIA SEK is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26x) compared to the peer average (42.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does NOKIA SEK's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Communications Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
NOKIA SEK 26.0xIndustry Avg. 27.4xNo. of Companies8PE020406080100+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: NOKIA SEK is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26x) compared to the European Communications industry average (27.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is NOKIA SEK's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

NOKIA SEK PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio26x
Fair PE Ratio34.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: NOKIA SEK is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (34.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst NOKIA SEK forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentSEK 50.51
SEK 51.90
+2.8%
18.9%SEK 69.49SEK 37.90n/a23
Jan ’26SEK 48.91
SEK 51.36
+5.0%
19.9%SEK 69.59SEK 37.96n/a22
Dec ’25SEK 45.97
SEK 50.11
+9.0%
18.9%SEK 69.41SEK 38.18n/a21
Nov ’25SEK 50.56
SEK 49.73
-1.6%
19.6%SEK 69.53SEK 38.24n/a20
Oct ’25SEK 44.77
SEK 45.12
+0.8%
23.7%SEK 73.73SEK 32.90n/a19
Sep ’25SEK 45.29
SEK 45.20
-0.2%
23.4%SEK 73.61SEK 32.84n/a20
Aug ’25SEK 42.51
SEK 46.51
+9.4%
23.7%SEK 76.22SEK 34.00n/a20
Jul ’25SEK 41.88
SEK 45.06
+7.6%
23.8%SEK 74.08SEK 33.05n/a20
Jun ’25SEK 40.97
SEK 45.76
+11.7%
24.6%SEK 75.69SEK 33.77n/a20
May ’25SEK 40.06
SEK 45.76
+14.2%
24.6%SEK 75.69SEK 33.77n/a20
Apr ’25SEK 37.94
SEK 45.40
+19.7%
24.4%SEK 74.58SEK 30.98n/a20
Mar ’25SEK 36.51
SEK 44.62
+22.2%
24.3%SEK 73.35SEK 30.47n/a21
Feb ’25SEK 37.51
SEK 43.87
+17.0%
24.3%SEK 73.32SEK 30.46n/a21
Jan ’25SEK 33.89
SEK 43.78
+29.2%
26.3%SEK 72.47SEK 30.10SEK 48.9121
Dec ’24SEK 36.30
SEK 49.97
+37.7%
21.3%SEK 79.44SEK 36.58SEK 45.9721
Nov ’24SEK 36.59
SEK 52.83
+44.4%
21.8%SEK 82.10SEK 37.80SEK 50.5621
Oct ’24SEK 41.18
SEK 57.15
+38.8%
18.9%SEK 80.85SEK 45.04SEK 44.7722
Sep ’24SEK 44.23
SEK 58.03
+31.2%
18.8%SEK 82.48SEK 45.95SEK 45.2922
Aug ’24SEK 41.63
SEK 57.64
+38.5%
18.5%SEK 81.55SEK 45.43SEK 42.5122
Jul ’24SEK 45.23
SEK 63.82
+41.1%
15.7%SEK 91.78SEK 49.42SEK 41.8823
Jun ’24SEK 44.30
SEK 63.34
+43.0%
15.3%SEK 89.92SEK 48.42SEK 40.9724
May ’24SEK 43.51
SEK 62.99
+44.8%
15.4%SEK 88.93SEK 47.89SEK 40.0623
Apr ’24SEK 50.76
SEK 65.53
+29.1%
13.7%SEK 88.17SEK 52.00SEK 37.9425
Mar ’24SEK 48.42
SEK 64.78
+33.8%
13.5%SEK 86.81SEK 51.20SEK 36.5124
Feb ’24SEK 49.66
SEK 66.19
+33.3%
13.6%SEK 88.68SEK 52.30SEK 37.5124
Jan ’24SEK 48.29
SEK 65.03
+34.7%
13.3%SEK 87.41SEK 49.17SEK 33.8925
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 23 Analysts
SEK 51.71
Fair Value
2.3% undervalued intrinsic discount
23
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/18 04:54
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/17 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Nokia Oyj is covered by 93 analysts. 22 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
null nullABG Sundal Collier
Jean-Michel SalvadorAlphaValue
Richard KramerArete Research Services LLP