Stock Analysis

NCAB Group AB (publ)'s (STO:NCAB) Stock Has Been Sliding But Fundamentals Look Strong: Is The Market Wrong?

It is hard to get excited after looking at NCAB Group's (STO:NCAB) recent performance, when its stock has declined 22% over the past three months. But if you pay close attention, you might gather that its strong financials could mean that the stock could potentially see an increase in value in the long-term, given how markets usually reward companies with good financial health. In this article, we decided to focus on NCAB Group's ROE.

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for NCAB Group is:

18% = kr255m ÷ kr1.4b (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2024).

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. So, this means that for every SEK1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of SEK0.18.

See our latest analysis for NCAB Group

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don’t share these attributes.

NCAB Group's Earnings Growth And 18% ROE

To begin with, NCAB Group seems to have a respectable ROE. Especially when compared to the industry average of 12% the company's ROE looks pretty impressive. This certainly adds some context to NCAB Group's exceptional 20% net income growth seen over the past five years. However, there could also be other causes behind this growth. For instance, the company has a low payout ratio or is being managed efficiently.

Next, on comparing NCAB Group's net income growth with the industry, we found that the company's reported growth is similar to the industry average growth rate of 22% over the last few years.

past-earnings-growth
OM:NCAB Past Earnings Growth April 4th 2025

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. What is NCAB worth today? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether NCAB is currently mispriced by the market.

Is NCAB Group Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

The three-year median payout ratio for NCAB Group is 49%, which is moderately low. The company is retaining the remaining 51%. So it seems that NCAB Group is reinvesting efficiently in a way that it sees impressive growth in its earnings (discussed above) and pays a dividend that's well covered.

Additionally, NCAB Group has paid dividends over a period of six years which means that the company is pretty serious about sharing its profits with shareholders. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company is expected to keep paying out approximately 55% of its profits over the next three years. Regardless, the future ROE for NCAB Group is predicted to rise to 26% despite there being not much change expected in its payout ratio.

Conclusion

In total, we are pretty happy with NCAB Group's performance. Particularly, we like that the company is reinvesting heavily into its business, and at a high rate of return. Unsurprisingly, this has led to an impressive earnings growth. The latest industry analyst forecasts show that the company is expected to maintain its current growth rate. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About OM:NCAB

NCAB Group

Engages in the manufacture and sale of printed circuit boards (PCBs) in Sweden, Nordic region, rest of Europe, North America, and Asia.

Reasonable growth potential with adequate balance sheet.

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