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TCECUR Sweden AB (publ)'s (NGM:TCC A) Financials Are Too Obscure To Link With Current Share Price Momentum: What's In Store For the Stock?
TCECUR Sweden (NGM:TCC A) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 41% over the last three months. However, we wonder if the company's inconsistent financials would have any adverse impact on the current share price momentum. Particularly, we will be paying attention to TCECUR Sweden's ROE today.
ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.
Check out our latest analysis for TCECUR Sweden
How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?
The formula for return on equity is:
Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity
So, based on the above formula, the ROE for TCECUR Sweden is:
0.7% = kr531k ÷ kr78m (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2020).
The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. So, this means that for every SEK1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of SEK0.01.
What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?
So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.
TCECUR Sweden's Earnings Growth And 0.7% ROE
It is hard to argue that TCECUR Sweden's ROE is much good in and of itself. Not just that, even compared to the industry average of 11%, the company's ROE is entirely unremarkable. Therefore, it might not be wrong to say that the five year net income decline of 23% seen by TCECUR Sweden was possibly a result of it having a lower ROE. We believe that there also might be other aspects that are negatively influencing the company's earnings prospects. For instance, the company has a very high payout ratio, or is faced with competitive pressures.
As a next step, we compared TCECUR Sweden's performance with the industry and found thatTCECUR Sweden's performance is depressing even when compared with the industry, which has shrunk its earnings at a rate of 18% in the same period, which is a slower than the company.
The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. If you're wondering about TCECUR Sweden's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.
Is TCECUR Sweden Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?
Conclusion
In total, we're a bit ambivalent about TCECUR Sweden's performance. While the company does have a high rate of reinvestment, the low ROE means that all that reinvestment is not reaping any benefit to its investors, and moreover, its having a negative impact on the earnings growth. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. Our risks dashboard would have the 4 risks we have identified for TCECUR Sweden.
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About NGM:TCC A
TCECUR Sweden
Through its subsidiaries, develops, installs, operates, and sells security systems and secure communication solutions in Europe.
Good value with adequate balance sheet.