Stock Analysis

Subdued Growth No Barrier To Truecaller AB (publ) (STO:TRUE B) With Shares Advancing 26%

OM:TRUE B
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Despite an already strong run, Truecaller AB (publ) (STO:TRUE B) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 26% in the last thirty days. Looking further back, the 13% rise over the last twelve months isn't too bad notwithstanding the strength over the last 30 days.

Although its price has surged higher, it's still not a stretch to say that Truecaller's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 24.8x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the market in Sweden, where the median P/E ratio is around 23x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/E ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

With earnings growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Truecaller has been doing relatively well. One possibility is that the P/E is moderate because investors think this strong earnings performance might be about to tail off. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for Truecaller

pe-multiple-vs-industry
OM:TRUE B Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry May 11th 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think Truecaller's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Some Growth For Truecaller?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/E like Truecaller's is when the company's growth is tracking the market closely.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 15%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 662% overall rise in EPS, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 14% each year as estimated by the six analysts watching the company. With the market predicted to deliver 19% growth per year, the company is positioned for a weaker earnings result.

In light of this, it's curious that Truecaller's P/E sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.

What We Can Learn From Truecaller's P/E?

Truecaller appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump getting its P/E back in line with most other companies. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our examination of Truecaller's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook isn't impacting its P/E as much as we would have predicted. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/E as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

The company's balance sheet is another key area for risk analysis. You can assess many of the main risks through our free balance sheet analysis for Truecaller with six simple checks.

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Truecaller is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.