Stock Analysis

Is Seamless Distribution Systems (STO:SDS) Weighed On By Its Debt Load?

NGM:SDS
Source: Shutterstock

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Seamless Distribution Systems AB (publ) (STO:SDS) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt A Problem?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Seamless Distribution Systems

What Is Seamless Distribution Systems's Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of September 2022, Seamless Distribution Systems had kr201.2m of debt, up from kr191.5m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have kr10.4m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about kr190.8m.

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OM:SDS Debt to Equity History December 22nd 2022

A Look At Seamless Distribution Systems' Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Seamless Distribution Systems had liabilities of kr88.3m falling due within a year, and liabilities of kr202.2m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had kr10.4m in cash and kr85.8m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total kr194.2m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of kr183.1m, we think shareholders really should watch Seamless Distribution Systems's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Seamless Distribution Systems can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Over 12 months, Seamless Distribution Systems reported revenue of kr287m, which is a gain of 2.3%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. That rate of growth is a bit slow for our taste, but it takes all types to make a world.

Caveat Emptor

Importantly, Seamless Distribution Systems had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. Indeed, it lost kr2.9m at the EBIT level. When we look at that alongside the significant liabilities, we're not particularly confident about the company. We'd want to see some strong near-term improvements before getting too interested in the stock. Not least because it burned through kr49m in negative free cash flow over the last year. So suffice it to say we consider the stock to be risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should learn about the 4 warning signs we've spotted with Seamless Distribution Systems (including 1 which shouldn't be ignored) .

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.