Stock Analysis

QuickBit eu AB (publ)'s (NGM:QBIT) Shares Bounce 61% But Its Business Still Trails The Industry

NGM:QBIT
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QuickBit eu AB (publ) (NGM:QBIT) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 61% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Looking further back, the 22% rise over the last twelve months isn't too bad notwithstanding the strength over the last 30 days.

Although its price has surged higher, QuickBit eu may still be sending buy signals at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.2x, considering almost half of all companies in the Software industry in Sweden have P/S ratios greater than 1.7x and even P/S higher than 5x aren't out of the ordinary. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

Check out our latest analysis for QuickBit eu

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NGM:QBIT Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 14th 2024

How QuickBit eu Has Been Performing

For instance, QuickBit eu's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. It might be that many expect the disappointing revenue performance to continue or accelerate, which has repressed the P/S. Those who are bullish on QuickBit eu will be hoping that this isn't the case so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for QuickBit eu, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is QuickBit eu's Revenue Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, QuickBit eu would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 70%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 68% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 15% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

With this in mind, we understand why QuickBit eu's P/S is lower than most of its industry peers. However, we think shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as recent revenue trends are already weighing down the shares.

What Does QuickBit eu's P/S Mean For Investors?

QuickBit eu's stock price has surged recently, but its but its P/S still remains modest. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

As we suspected, our examination of QuickBit eu revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term is contributing to its low P/S, given the industry is set to grow. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Given the current circumstances, it seems unlikely that the share price will experience any significant movement in either direction in the near future if recent medium-term revenue trends persist.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 5 warning signs for QuickBit eu (4 are concerning!) that you need to be mindful of.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if QuickBit eu might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.