Stock Analysis

Fastighets AB Trianon (STO:TRIAN B) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

OM:TRIAN B
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Fastighets AB Trianon (publ) (STO:TRIAN B) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Fastighets AB Trianon

What Is Fastighets AB Trianon's Net Debt?

As you can see below, Fastighets AB Trianon had kr7.10b of debt, at June 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. On the flip side, it has kr263.8m in cash leading to net debt of about kr6.84b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
OM:TRIAN B Debt to Equity History September 17th 2024

How Strong Is Fastighets AB Trianon's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Fastighets AB Trianon had liabilities of kr3.00b due within a year, and liabilities of kr5.43b falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had kr263.8m in cash and kr218.8m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total kr7.94b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit casts a shadow over the kr5.19b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, Fastighets AB Trianon would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Fastighets AB Trianon shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (14.8), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 1.7 times the interest expense. The debt burden here is substantial. The good news is that Fastighets AB Trianon improved its EBIT by 7.6% over the last twelve months, thus gradually reducing its debt levels relative to its earnings. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Fastighets AB Trianon's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Fastighets AB Trianon recorded free cash flow worth 66% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Our View

To be frank both Fastighets AB Trianon's level of total liabilities and its track record of managing its debt, based on its EBITDA, make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least it's pretty decent at converting EBIT to free cash flow; that's encouraging. Looking at the bigger picture, it seems clear to us that Fastighets AB Trianon's use of debt is creating risks for the company. If everything goes well that may pay off but the downside of this debt is a greater risk of permanent losses. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example Fastighets AB Trianon has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is concerning) we think you should know about.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.