Stock Analysis

Shareholders In Swedish Logistic Property (STO:SLP B) Should Look Beyond Earnings For The Full Story

We didn't see Swedish Logistic Property AB's (STO:SLP B) stock surge when it reported robust earnings recently. We think that investors might be worried about the foundations the earnings are built on.

View our latest analysis for Swedish Logistic Property

earnings-and-revenue-history
OM:SLP B Earnings and Revenue History October 25th 2024

One essential aspect of assessing earnings quality is to look at how much a company is diluting shareholders. In fact, Swedish Logistic Property increased the number of shares on issue by 26% over the last twelve months by issuing new shares. That means its earnings are split among a greater number of shares. To celebrate net income while ignoring dilution is like rejoicing because you have a single slice of a larger pizza, but ignoring the fact that the pizza is now cut into many more slices. Check out Swedish Logistic Property's historical EPS growth by clicking on this link.

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How Is Dilution Impacting Swedish Logistic Property's Earnings Per Share (EPS)?

Unfortunately, Swedish Logistic Property's profit is down 36% per year over three years. The good news is that profit was up 28% in the last twelve months. On the other hand, earnings per share are only up 9.7% over the same period. Therefore, one can observe that the dilution is having a fairly profound effect on shareholder returns.

Changes in the share price do tend to reflect changes in earnings per share, in the long run. So Swedish Logistic Property shareholders will want to see that EPS figure continue to increase. But on the other hand, we'd be far less excited to learn profit (but not EPS) was improving. For that reason, you could say that EPS is more important that net income in the long run, assuming the goal is to assess whether a company's share price might grow.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

Alongside that dilution, it's also important to note that Swedish Logistic Property's profit was boosted by unusual items worth kr388m in the last twelve months. While we like to see profit increases, we tend to be a little more cautious when unusual items have made a big contribution. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. We can see that Swedish Logistic Property's positive unusual items were quite significant relative to its profit in the year to September 2024. As a result, we can surmise that the unusual items are making its statutory profit significantly stronger than it would otherwise be.

Our Take On Swedish Logistic Property's Profit Performance

In its last report Swedish Logistic Property benefitted from unusual items which boosted its profit, which could make the profit seem better than it really is on a sustainable basis. On top of that, the dilution means that its earnings per share performance is worse than its profit performance. For the reasons mentioned above, we think that a perfunctory glance at Swedish Logistic Property's statutory profits might make it look better than it really is on an underlying level. If you'd like to know more about Swedish Logistic Property as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. For example, Swedish Logistic Property has 3 warning signs (and 1 which is a bit concerning) we think you should know about.

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, and we've come away cautious. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About OM:SLP B

Swedish Logistic Property

Engages in acquiring, developing, and managing properties in Sweden.

Low risk and slightly overvalued.

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