Stock Analysis

Nyfosa's (STO:NYF) Dividend Will Be Increased To SEK1.00

OM:NYF
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Nyfosa AB (publ) (STO:NYF) has announced that it will be increasing its dividend from last year's comparable payment on the 4th of October to SEK1.00. This makes the dividend yield 6.0%, which is above the industry average.

Check out our latest analysis for Nyfosa

Nyfosa's Earnings Easily Cover The Distributions

Impressive dividend yields are good, but this doesn't matter much if the payments can't be sustained. Nyfosa is not generating a profit, but its free cash flows easily cover the dividend, leaving plenty for reinvestment in the business. This gives us some comfort about the level of the dividend payments.

Looking forward, earnings per share is forecast to rise exponentially over the next year. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio will be 21%, so there isn't too much pressure on the dividend.

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OM:NYF Historic Dividend July 29th 2023

Nyfosa Doesn't Have A Long Payment History

Looking back, the dividend has been stable, but the company hasn't been paying a dividend for very long so we can't be confident that the dividend will remain stable through all economic environments. The dividend has gone from an annual total of SEK3.00 in 2021 to the most recent total annual payment of SEK4.00. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 15% per annum over that time. Nyfosa has been growing its dividend quite rapidly, which is exciting. However, the short payment history makes us question whether this performance will persist across a full market cycle.

The Dividend's Growth Prospects Are Limited

Investors could be attracted to the stock based on the quality of its payment history. Unfortunately, Nyfosa's earnings per share has been essentially flat over the past five years, which means the dividend may not be increased each year. Earnings growth isn't particularly strong, and if the company isn't able to become profitable fairly soon, the dividend could come under pressure.

In Summary

In summary, while it's always good to see the dividend being raised, we don't think Nyfosa's payments are rock solid. In the past, the payments have been unstable, but over the short term the dividend could be reliable, with the company generating enough cash to cover it. We would be a touch cautious of relying on this stock primarily for the dividend income.

Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. For example, we've identified 2 warning signs for Nyfosa (1 is concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.