Nyfosa AB (publ)

OM:NYF Stock Report

Market Cap: SEK 21.8b

Nyfosa Valuation

Is NYF undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of NYF when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: NYF (SEK107.5) is trading above our estimate of fair value (SEK21.92)

Significantly Below Fair Value: NYF is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for NYF?

Key metric: As NYF is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for NYF. This is calculated by dividing NYF's market cap by their current revenue.
What is NYF's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio5.8x
SalesSEK 3.84b
Market CapSEK 21.79b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does NYF's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for NYF vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average8.8x
ATRLJ B Atrium Ljungberg
6.3x-2.7%SEK 24.7b
FABG Fabege
7.1x2.8%SEK 25.8b
HUFV A Hufvudstaden
7.8x2.2%SEK 24.4b
CATE Catena
14.1x18.1%SEK 28.4b
NYF Nyfosa
5.8x-0.2%SEK 22.4b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: NYF is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (5.8x) compared to the peer average (8.8x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does NYF's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the SE Real Estate Industry?

6 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
HEIM PREF Heimstaden
0.2xn/aUS$265.77m
WBGR B Wästbygg Gruppen
0.2x0.2%US$72.60m
FASTAT Aktiebolaget Fastator
0.2xn/aUS$7.81m
SAMT B Samtrygg Group
0.06xn/aUS$3.15m
NYF 5.8xIndustry Avg. 5.3xNo. of Companies9PS03.26.49.612.816+
6 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: NYF is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (5.8x) compared to the Swedish Real Estate industry average (5.3x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is NYF's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

NYF PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio5.8x
Fair PS Ratio7.2x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: NYF is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (5.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (7.2x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst NYF forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentSEK 107.50
SEK 133.33
+24.0%
4.7%SEK 140.00SEK 125.00n/a3
Dec ’25SEK 109.00
SEK 133.33
+22.3%
4.7%SEK 140.00SEK 125.00n/a3
Nov ’25SEK 107.80
SEK 126.67
+17.5%
4.9%SEK 135.00SEK 120.00n/a3
Oct ’25SEK 122.70
SEK 123.33
+0.5%
1.9%SEK 125.00SEK 120.00n/a3
Sep ’25SEK 113.40
SEK 123.33
+8.8%
1.9%SEK 125.00SEK 120.00n/a3
Aug ’25SEK 108.80
SEK 121.67
+11.8%
1.9%SEK 125.00SEK 120.00n/a3
Jul ’25SEK 103.80
SEK 110.67
+6.6%
3.8%SEK 115.00SEK 105.00n/a3
Jun ’25SEK 106.70
SEK 105.00
-1.6%
6.7%SEK 115.00SEK 100.00n/a3
May ’25SEK 96.75
SEK 103.33
+6.8%
4.6%SEK 110.00SEK 100.00n/a3
Apr ’25SEK 105.60
SEK 97.00
-8.1%
4.4%SEK 100.00SEK 91.00n/a3
Mar ’25SEK 91.05
SEK 97.00
+6.5%
4.4%SEK 100.00SEK 91.00n/a3
Feb ’25SEK 93.90
SEK 95.67
+1.9%
6.4%SEK 100.00SEK 87.00n/a3
Jan ’25SEK 95.85
SEK 80.33
-16.2%
9.2%SEK 87.00SEK 70.00n/a3
Dec ’24SEK 73.00
SEK 69.67
-4.6%
17.0%SEK 84.00SEK 55.00SEK 109.003
Nov ’24SEK 53.05
SEK 70.00
+32.0%
21.4%SEK 85.00SEK 55.00SEK 107.802
Oct ’24SEK 58.80
SEK 77.50
+31.8%
9.7%SEK 85.00SEK 70.00SEK 122.702
Sep ’24SEK 68.45
SEK 77.50
+13.2%
9.7%SEK 85.00SEK 70.00SEK 113.402
Aug ’24SEK 66.35
SEK 77.50
+16.8%
9.7%SEK 85.00SEK 70.00SEK 108.802
Jul ’24SEK 59.60
SEK 79.00
+32.6%
7.6%SEK 85.00SEK 73.00SEK 103.802
Jun ’24SEK 60.35
SEK 79.00
+30.9%
7.6%SEK 85.00SEK 73.00SEK 106.702
May ’24SEK 70.05
SEK 86.50
+23.5%
15.6%SEK 100.00SEK 73.00SEK 96.752
Apr ’24SEK 72.00
SEK 95.00
+31.9%
5.3%SEK 100.00SEK 90.00SEK 105.602
Mar ’24SEK 84.40
SEK 95.00
+12.6%
5.3%SEK 100.00SEK 90.00SEK 91.052
Feb ’24SEK 93.20
SEK 81.50
-12.6%
22.7%SEK 100.00SEK 63.00SEK 93.902
Jan ’24SEK 80.60
SEK 71.50
-11.3%
11.9%SEK 80.00SEK 63.00SEK 95.852
Dec ’23SEK 75.95
SEK 71.50
-5.9%
11.9%SEK 80.00SEK 63.00SEK 73.002

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/20 19:07
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Nyfosa AB (publ) is covered by 5 analysts. 3 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Erik GranströmCarnegie Investment Bank AB
Simen MortensenDNB Markets
Niklas WetterlingDNB Markets