Stock Analysis

Here's Why Aktiebolaget Fastator (STO:FASTAT) Is Weighed Down By Its Debt Load

OM:FASTAT
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Aktiebolaget Fastator (publ) (STO:FASTAT) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Aktiebolaget Fastator

What Is Aktiebolaget Fastator's Net Debt?

As you can see below, Aktiebolaget Fastator had kr2.53b of debt, at June 2023, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it does have kr118.2m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about kr2.41b.

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OM:FASTAT Debt to Equity History August 20th 2023

A Look At Aktiebolaget Fastator's Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, Aktiebolaget Fastator had liabilities of kr1.52b due within 12 months, and liabilities of kr1.28b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of kr118.2m and kr313.3m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by kr2.37b.

This deficit casts a shadow over the kr283.7m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, Aktiebolaget Fastator would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Weak interest cover of 0.12 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 71.6 hit our confidence in Aktiebolaget Fastator like a one-two punch to the gut. The debt burden here is substantial. Worse, Aktiebolaget Fastator's EBIT was down 74% over the last year. If earnings continue to follow that trajectory, paying off that debt load will be harder than convincing us to run a marathon in the rain. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Aktiebolaget Fastator will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the most recent two years, Aktiebolaget Fastator recorded free cash flow worth 62% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Our View

On the face of it, Aktiebolaget Fastator's EBIT growth rate left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But at least it's pretty decent at converting EBIT to free cash flow; that's encouraging. After considering the datapoints discussed, we think Aktiebolaget Fastator has too much debt. While some investors love that sort of risky play, it's certainly not our cup of tea. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Aktiebolaget Fastator (including 2 which are concerning) .

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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Find out whether Aktiebolaget Fastator is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.