Catena Valuation

Is CATE undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CATE when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CATE (SEK487) is trading above our estimate of fair value (SEK418.31)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CATE is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CATE?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

CATE key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue20.1x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA25.7x
PEG Ratio-49.9x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CATE's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CATE vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average32.5x
SLP B Swedish Logistic Property
17.7x8.1%kr7.5b
EMIL B Fastighetsbolaget Emilshus
33.8x36.0%kr3.8b
LOGIST Logistri Fastighets
15.4xn/akr993.9m
KAPIAB Kallebäck Property Invest
63xn/akr664.3m
CATE Catena
17.2x-0.3%kr26.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CATE is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.2x) compared to the peer average (32.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CATE's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Real Estate Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a68.3%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a68.3%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CATE is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.2x) compared to the European Real Estate industry average (16.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CATE's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CATE PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio17.2x
Fair PE Ratio16x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: CATE is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CATE forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentkr487.00
kr528.75
+8.6%
5.9%kr575.00kr490.00n/a4
Apr ’25kr523.00
kr496.25
-5.1%
6.1%kr540.00kr455.00n/a4
Mar ’25kr434.20
kr479.25
+10.4%
3.7%kr500.00kr455.00n/a4
Feb ’25kr437.20
kr475.00
+8.6%
4.4%kr510.00kr455.00n/a4
Jan ’25kr471.40
kr441.25
-6.4%
4.3%kr465.00kr420.00n/a4
Dec ’24kr412.80
kr441.25
+6.9%
4.3%kr465.00kr420.00n/a4
Nov ’24kr360.80
kr440.00
+22.0%
2.9%kr455.00kr425.00n/a4
Oct ’24kr380.00
kr459.25
+20.9%
2.1%kr475.00kr450.00n/a4
Sep ’24kr396.20
kr459.25
+15.9%
2.1%kr475.00kr450.00n/a4
Aug ’24kr396.80
kr459.25
+15.7%
2.1%kr475.00kr450.00n/a4
Jul ’24kr394.80
kr466.33
+18.1%
1.8%kr475.00kr455.00n/a3
Jun ’24kr374.20
kr443.50
+18.5%
5.9%kr469.00kr400.00n/a4
May ’24kr392.60
kr443.50
+13.0%
5.9%kr469.00kr400.00kr487.004
Apr ’24kr384.00
kr450.25
+17.3%
7.6%kr496.00kr400.00kr523.004
Mar ’24kr399.60
kr436.50
+9.2%
9.2%kr496.00kr400.00kr434.204
Feb ’24kr439.00
kr434.00
-1.1%
9.1%kr496.00kr400.00kr437.204
Jan ’24kr388.60
kr412.00
+6.0%
2.9%kr425.00kr400.00kr471.404
Dec ’23kr367.80
kr409.50
+11.3%
3.6%kr425.00kr390.00kr412.804
Nov ’23kr398.40
kr406.25
+2.0%
2.7%kr425.00kr400.00kr360.804
Oct ’23kr331.00
kr431.75
+30.4%
7.4%kr467.00kr400.00kr380.004
Sep ’23kr431.60
kr471.75
+9.3%
2.4%kr490.00kr460.00kr396.204
Aug ’23kr460.00
kr471.75
+2.6%
2.4%kr490.00kr460.00kr396.804
Jul ’23kr380.00
kr553.33
+45.6%
3.8%kr575.00kr525.00kr394.803
Jun ’23kr413.20
kr573.33
+38.8%
1.8%kr585.00kr560.00kr374.203
May ’23kr513.50
kr557.25
+8.5%
5.2%kr585.00kr509.00kr392.604

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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