Fastighets AB Balder Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of BALD B when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

BALD B (SEK76.26) is trading above our estimate of [[fair value]] (SEK73.49)

Is BALD B undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Sales vs Peers
Price-To-Sales vs Industry
Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BALD B when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: BALD B (SEK76.26) is trading above our estimate of fair value (SEK73.49)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BALD B is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BALD B?

Key metric: As BALD B is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for BALD B. This is calculated by dividing BALD B's market cap by their current revenue.
What is BALD B's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio	7.1x
Sales	SEK 12.73b
Market Cap	SEK 90.75b

BALD B key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	18.7x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	28x
PEG Ratio	n/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does BALD B's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for BALD B vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PS	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	15.9x
SAGA A AB Sagax	21.7x	9.8%	SEK 80.0b
AKEL D Akelius Residential Property	28.3x	n/a	€9.9b
CAST Castellum	5.7x	0.1%	SEK 58.9b
WIHL Wihlborgs Fastigheter	7.8x	5.6%	SEK 31.9b
BALD B Fastighets AB Balder	7.1x	4.0%	SEK 90.7b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: BALD B is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (7.1x) compared to the peer average (15.9x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does BALD B's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the SE Real Estate Industry?

6 Companies	Price / Sales	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
HEIM PREF Heimstaden	0.2x	n/a	US$265.26m
WBGR B Wästbygg Gruppen	0.2x	0.2%	US$74.12m
FASTAT Aktiebolaget Fastator	0.2x	n/a	US$7.91m
SAMT B Samtrygg Group	0.06x	n/a	US$2.60m

6 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: BALD B is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (7.1x) compared to the Swedish Real Estate industry average (5.4x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BALD B's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BALD B PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio	7.1x
Fair PS Ratio	8.9x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: BALD B is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (7.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (8.9x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst BALD B forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
Date	Share Price	Average 1Y Price Target	Dispersion	High	Low	1Y Actual price	Analysts
Current	SEK 76.26	SEK 91.25 +19.7%	2.4%	SEK 95.00	SEK 90.00	n/a	4
Dec ’25	SEK 83.92	SEK 91.75 +9.3%	2.2%	SEK 95.00	SEK 90.00	n/a	4
Nov ’25	SEK 85.54	SEK 90.50 +5.8%	1.0%	SEK 92.00	SEK 90.00	n/a	4
Oct ’25	SEK 91.00	SEK 87.00 -4.4%	3.5%	SEK 90.00	SEK 83.00	n/a	4
Sep ’25	SEK 80.50	SEK 87.00 +8.1%	3.5%	SEK 90.00	SEK 83.00	n/a	4
Aug ’25	SEK 78.98	SEK 87.00 +10.2%	3.5%	SEK 90.00	SEK 83.00	n/a	4
Jul ’25	SEK 73.62	SEK 76.75 +4.3%	6.3%	SEK 83.00	SEK 70.00	n/a	4
Jun ’25	SEK 70.66	SEK 76.00 +7.6%	5.2%	SEK 80.00	SEK 70.00	n/a	4
May ’25	SEK 70.92	SEK 75.60 +6.6%	6.9%	SEK 82.00	SEK 67.00	n/a	5
Apr ’25	SEK 78.68	SEK 75.60 -3.9%	6.9%	SEK 82.00	SEK 67.00	n/a	5
Mar ’25	SEK 67.36	SEK 75.60 +12.2%	6.9%	SEK 82.00	SEK 67.00	n/a	5
Feb ’25	SEK 69.10	SEK 70.60 +2.2%	12.5%	SEK 82.00	SEK 60.00	n/a	5
Jan ’25	SEK 71.52	SEK 57.40 -19.7%	9.6%	SEK 64.00	SEK 48.00	n/a	5
Dec ’24	SEK 63.24	SEK 57.40 -9.2%	9.6%	SEK 64.00	SEK 48.00	SEK 83.92	5
Nov ’24	SEK 47.44	SEK 55.60 +17.2%	7.9%	SEK 60.00	SEK 48.00	SEK 85.54	5
Oct ’24	SEK 49.30	SEK 55.60 +12.8%	7.9%	SEK 60.00	SEK 48.00	SEK 91.00	5
Sep ’24	SEK 52.32	SEK 55.60 +6.3%	7.9%	SEK 60.00	SEK 48.00	SEK 80.50	5
Aug ’24	SEK 48.32	SEK 55.60 +15.1%	7.9%	SEK 60.00	SEK 48.00	SEK 78.98	5
Jul ’24	SEK 39.36	SEK 55.00 +39.7%	10.0%	SEK 60.00	SEK 45.00	SEK 73.62	5
Jun ’24	SEK 36.50	SEK 55.00 +50.7%	10.0%	SEK 60.00	SEK 45.00	SEK 70.66	5
May ’24	SEK 47.59	SEK 63.00 +32.4%	6.3%	SEK 70.00	SEK 60.00	SEK 70.92	5
Apr ’24	SEK 42.51	SEK 65.60 +54.3%	8.0%	SEK 73.00	SEK 60.00	SEK 78.68	5
Mar ’24	SEK 49.42	SEK 67.00 +35.6%	7.4%	SEK 73.00	SEK 60.00	SEK 67.36	4
Feb ’24	SEK 55.46	SEK 64.00 +15.4%	9.9%	SEK 70.00	SEK 55.00	SEK 69.10	4
Jan ’24	SEK 48.52	SEK 55.67 +14.7%	17.7%	SEK 65.00	SEK 42.00	SEK 71.52	3
Dec ’23	SEK 47.29	SEK 55.67 +17.7%	17.7%	SEK 65.00	SEK 42.00	SEK 63.24	3

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2024/12/24 01:27
End of Day Share Price	2024/12/23 00:00
Earnings	2024/09/30
Annual Earnings	2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Fastighets AB Balder (publ) is covered by 14 analysts. 4 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Tobias Kaj	ABG Sundal Collier
Johan Biehl	ABG Sundal Collier Sponsored
Erik Granström	Carnegie Investment Bank AB