Fastighets AB Balder (publ)

OM:BALD B Stock Report

Market Cap: kr83.1b

Fastighets AB Balder Valuation

Is BALD B undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BALD B when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: BALD B (SEK70.92) is trading above our estimate of fair value (SEK31.41)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BALD B is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BALD B?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

BALD B key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue19x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA28.8x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does BALD B's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for BALD B vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average20x
SAGA A AB Sagax
30x11.0%kr98.0b
CAST Castellum
6.2x0.3%kr65.7b
AKEL D Akelius Residential Property
29.7xn/a€10.1b
CATE Catena
14.1x10.8%kr26.7b
BALD B Fastighets AB Balder
7x4.6%kr83.1b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: BALD B is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (7x) compared to the peer average (20x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does BALD B's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the SE Real Estate Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a68.3%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a68.3%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: BALD B is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (7x) compared to the Swedish Real Estate industry average (4.9x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BALD B's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BALD B PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio7x
Fair PS Ratio9.1x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: BALD B is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (9.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst BALD B forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentkr70.92
kr75.60
+6.6%
6.9%kr82.00kr67.00n/a5
Apr ’25kr78.68
kr75.60
-3.9%
6.9%kr82.00kr67.00n/a5
Mar ’25kr67.36
kr75.60
+12.2%
6.9%kr82.00kr67.00n/a5
Feb ’25kr69.10
kr70.60
+2.2%
12.5%kr82.00kr60.00n/a5
Jan ’25kr71.52
kr57.40
-19.7%
9.6%kr64.00kr48.00n/a5
Dec ’24kr63.24
kr57.40
-9.2%
9.6%kr64.00kr48.00n/a5
Nov ’24kr47.44
kr55.60
+17.2%
7.9%kr60.00kr48.00n/a5
Oct ’24kr49.30
kr55.60
+12.8%
7.9%kr60.00kr48.00n/a5
Sep ’24kr52.32
kr55.60
+6.3%
7.9%kr60.00kr48.00n/a5
Aug ’24kr48.32
kr55.60
+15.1%
7.9%kr60.00kr48.00n/a5
Jul ’24kr39.36
kr55.00
+39.7%
10.0%kr60.00kr45.00n/a5
Jun ’24kr36.50
kr55.00
+50.7%
10.0%kr60.00kr45.00n/a5
May ’24kr47.59
kr63.00
+32.4%
6.3%kr70.00kr60.00kr70.925
Apr ’24kr42.51
kr65.60
+54.3%
8.0%kr73.00kr60.00kr78.685
Mar ’24kr49.42
kr67.00
+35.6%
7.4%kr73.00kr60.00kr67.364
Feb ’24kr55.46
kr64.00
+15.4%
9.9%kr70.00kr55.00kr69.104
Jan ’24kr48.52
kr55.67
+14.7%
17.7%kr65.00kr42.00kr71.523
Dec ’23kr47.29
kr55.67
+17.7%
17.7%kr65.00kr42.00kr63.243
Nov ’23kr44.57
kr55.67
+24.9%
17.7%kr65.00kr42.00kr47.443
Oct ’23kr44.76
kr75.00
+67.6%
13.3%kr88.00kr60.00kr49.304
Sep ’23kr57.13
kr75.00
+31.3%
13.3%kr88.00kr60.00kr52.324
Aug ’23kr63.86
kr75.00
+17.4%
13.3%kr88.00kr60.00kr48.324
Jul ’23kr50.38
kr93.50
+85.6%
11.5%kr101.00kr75.00kr39.364
Jun ’23kr66.86
kr97.33
+45.6%
14.3%kr113.34kr75.00kr36.504
May ’23kr81.93
kr113.67
+38.7%
4.9%kr118.33kr104.17kr47.594

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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