The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Tingsvalvet Fastighets AB (publ) (NGM:TINGS A) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Tingsvalvet Fastighets
How Much Debt Does Tingsvalvet Fastighets Carry?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2023 Tingsvalvet Fastighets had kr934.3m of debt, an increase on kr439.3m, over one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of kr23.6m, its net debt is less, at about kr910.7m.
A Look At Tingsvalvet Fastighets' Liabilities
According to the last reported balance sheet, Tingsvalvet Fastighets had liabilities of kr54.4m due within 12 months, and liabilities of kr941.0m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had kr23.6m in cash and kr14.4m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by kr957.4m.
The deficiency here weighs heavily on the kr306.5m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. At the end of the day, Tingsvalvet Fastighets would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
Weak interest cover of 2.4 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 19.5 hit our confidence in Tingsvalvet Fastighets like a one-two punch to the gut. The debt burden here is substantial. However, it should be some comfort for shareholders to recall that Tingsvalvet Fastighets actually grew its EBIT by a hefty 184%, over the last 12 months. If it can keep walking that path it will be in a position to shed its debt with relative ease. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Tingsvalvet Fastighets's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Looking at the most recent three years, Tingsvalvet Fastighets recorded free cash flow of 22% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.
Our View
On the face of it, Tingsvalvet Fastighets's net debt to EBITDA left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But on the bright side, its EBIT growth rate is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. We're quite clear that we consider Tingsvalvet Fastighets to be really rather risky, as a result of its balance sheet health. For this reason we're pretty cautious about the stock, and we think shareholders should keep a close eye on its liquidity. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 5 warning signs with Tingsvalvet Fastighets (at least 4 which are a bit concerning) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About OM:TINGS A
Tingsvalvet Fastighets
A real estate company, owns, manages, and leases office and commercial properties in Central Sweden.
Medium-low and good value.