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Cautious Investors Not Rewarding Real Fastigheter AB (publ)'s (NGM:REAL) Performance Completely
With a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.4x Real Fastigheter AB (publ) (NGM:REAL) may be sending very bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all the Real Estate companies in Sweden have P/S ratios greater than 5.8x and even P/S higher than 9x are not unusual. However, the P/S might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
View our latest analysis for Real Fastigheter
What Does Real Fastigheter's Recent Performance Look Like?
Revenue has risen firmly for Real Fastigheter recently, which is pleasing to see. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/S. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Real Fastigheter will help you shine a light on its historical performance.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Real Fastigheter would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 15%. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 130% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenues over that time.
Comparing that to the industry, which is only predicted to deliver 3.2% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is stronger based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.
With this in mind, we find it intriguing that Real Fastigheter's P/S isn't as high compared to that of its industry peers. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance has exceeded its limits and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.
What We Can Learn From Real Fastigheter's P/S?
Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
Our examination of Real Fastigheter revealed its three-year revenue trends aren't boosting its P/S anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look better than current industry expectations. When we see robust revenue growth that outpaces the industry, we presume that there are notable underlying risks to the company's future performance, which is exerting downward pressure on the P/S ratio. While recent revenue trends over the past medium-term suggest that the risk of a price decline is low, investors appear to perceive a likelihood of revenue fluctuations in the future.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 5 warning signs for Real Fastigheter (of which 2 don't sit too well with us!) you should know about.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NGM:REAL
Real Fastigheter
Acquires and manages commercial and residential properties in Sweden.
Medium-low and slightly overvalued.