Stock Analysis

BioGaia (STO:BIOG B) Has Announced That It Will Be Increasing Its Dividend To SEK6.90

OM:BIOG B
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BioGaia AB (publ) (STO:BIOG B) will increase its dividend from last year's comparable payment on the 15th of May to SEK6.90. This makes the dividend yield 5.5%, which is above the industry average.

See our latest analysis for BioGaia

BioGaia Doesn't Earn Enough To Cover Its Payments

Impressive dividend yields are good, but this doesn't matter much if the payments can't be sustained. Prior to this announcement, BioGaia's dividend was only 53% of earnings, however it was paying out 185% of free cash flows. This signals that the company is more focused on returning cash flow to shareholders, but it could mean that the dividend is exposed to cuts in the future.

Earnings per share is forecast to rise by 29.3% over the next year. If the dividend continues on its recent course, the payout ratio in 12 months could be 156%, which is a bit high and could start applying pressure to the balance sheet.

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OM:BIOG B Historic Dividend February 24th 2024

Dividend Volatility

The company's dividend history has been marked by instability, with at least one cut in the last 10 years. Since 2014, the dividend has gone from SEK2.00 total annually to SEK6.90. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 13% a year over that time. It is great to see strong growth in the dividend payments, but cuts are concerning as it may indicate the payout policy is too ambitious.

The Dividend Has Growth Potential

Growing earnings per share could be a mitigating factor when considering the past fluctuations in the dividend. We are encouraged to see that BioGaia has grown earnings per share at 7.9% per year over the past five years. While on an earnings basis, this company looks appealing as an income stock, the cash payout ratio still makes us cautious.

Our Thoughts On BioGaia's Dividend

Overall, we always like to see the dividend being raised, but we don't think BioGaia will make a great income stock. While BioGaia is earning enough to cover the payments, the cash flows are lacking. Overall, we don't think this company has the makings of a good income stock.

Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. Taking the debate a bit further, we've identified 1 warning sign for BioGaia that investors need to be conscious of moving forward. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.