BioArctic AB (publ)

OM:BIOA B Stock Report

Market Cap: SEK 25.3b

BioArctic Future Growth

Future criteria checks 6/6

BioArctic is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 53.3% and 28.7% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 51.2% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 35.8% in 3 years.

Key information

53.3%

Earnings growth rate

51.24%

EPS growth rate

Biotechs earnings growth33.7%
Revenue growth rate28.7%
Future return on equity35.85%
Analyst coverage

Low

Last updated25 May 2026

Recent future growth updates

Analysis Article May 24

BioArctic AB (publ) Just Reported A Surprise Profit, And Analysts Lifted Their Estimates

As you might know, BioArctic AB (publ) ( STO:BIOA B ) recently reported its quarterly numbers. Revenues of 66% beat...
Analysis Article Nov 16

BioArctic AB (publ) (STO:BIOA B) Just Released Its Third-Quarter Earnings: Here's What Analysts Think

It's been a pretty great week for BioArctic AB (publ) ( STO:BIOA B ) shareholders, with its shares surging 12% to kr295...

Recent updates

Narrative Update Jun 01

BIOA B: Alzheimer’s Access Delays And Nordic Rollout Will Shape Future Returns

Analysts now set their fair value estimate for BioArctic at SEK 363, down slightly from SEK 367. This reflects updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins and a lower future P/E multiple.
Analysis Article May 28

BioArctic's (STO:BIOA B) Soft Earnings Don't Show The Whole Picture

BioArctic AB (publ)'s ( STO:BIOA B ) stock was strong despite it releasing a soft earnings report last week. We think...
Analysis Article May 24

BioArctic AB (publ) Just Reported A Surprise Profit, And Analysts Lifted Their Estimates

As you might know, BioArctic AB (publ) ( STO:BIOA B ) recently reported its quarterly numbers. Revenues of 66% beat...
Narrative Update May 18

BIOA B: Future Returns Will Depend On High NLRP3 Execution Risk

Analysts kept their SEK 240.00 price target for BioArctic unchanged, with slightly lower discount rate and profit margin assumptions, and a higher future P/E multiple that reflects refined views on the stock's risk profile and earnings power. Analyst Commentary Recent research on BioArctic has centered on how changing assumptions around risk, profitability, and long term earnings power feed into valuation.
Narrative Update Apr 22

BIOA B: Future Returns Will Depend On High NLRP3 Execution Risk

Analysts have kept their SEK 240.0 price target for BioArctic unchanged, explaining the steady view by slightly adjusting discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions, while balancing higher perceived risk with ongoing optimism around the broader NLRP3 and cardiovascular opportunity highlighted in recent peer research. Analyst Commentary Research coverage around NLRP3-targeted therapies has been active, with several firms updating their views and price targets on peers such as BioAge Labs.
Narrative Update Apr 08

BIOA B: NLRP3 Opportunity And Alzheimer’s Data Will Shape Balanced Outlook

The analyst fair value estimate for BioArctic has shifted from SEK 294.60 to SEK 303.80, with analysts pointing to more constructive views on the NLRP3 opportunity set and comparisons to bullish Street research on peers as key drivers behind the updated target assumptions. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are drawing parallels between BioArctic's NLRP3 exposure and Street enthusiasm around peers such as BioAge Labs, where recent research has highlighted NLRP3 programs and adjacent cardiovascular and ophthalmology opportunities as a key value driver.
Narrative Update Mar 25

BIOA B: Future Earnings Will Depend On High China Access Risk

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for BioArctic to SEK240 from SEK236. This reflects updated assumptions around revenue contraction, profitability and a higher future P/E multiple, while keeping the discount rate broadly similar.
Narrative Update Mar 10

BIOA B: China Alzheimer’s Access And Delivery Shift Will Drive Future Upside

Analysts are keeping their SEK 367.0 price target for BioArctic broadly unchanged, with only modest tweaks to underlying assumptions. They highlight parallels with recent bullish Street research on early stage biotech names that are seeing renewed interest around differentiated clinical assets.
Narrative Update Feb 24

BIOA B: Peer Re-Rating And China Alzheimer’s Momentum Will Reframe Upside

Analysts have raised their BioArctic fair value estimate from SEK353 to SEK367 as they factor in updated views on revenue growth, margins, discount rate and a higher future P/E assumption aligned with recent bullish Street research on comparable biotech names. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on comparable biotech names has turned more optimistic, with bullish analysts revisiting their models and price targets in light of updated clinical views and perceived market potential.
Narrative Update Feb 09

BIOA B: Future Earnings Will Depend On Risky China Insurance Access

Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for BioArctic from SEK 230 to SEK 236, citing updated assumptions regarding discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and a slightly higher future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst work on comparable neurology and biotech names highlights how sensitive valuations can be to small shifts in assumptions around discount rates, revenue build, profitability and terminal P/E multiples.
Narrative Update Jan 25

BIOA B: Future Earnings Will Rely On Risky China Alzheimer Access

Analysts now keep their price target for BioArctic at SEK 230.00, with small adjustments to the discount rate, revenue growth assumptions and future P/E outlook. This reflects only minor changes to their overall view of the company’s risk and profitability profile.
Narrative Update Jan 09

BIOA B: Future Earnings Will Depend On Risky Alzheimer Access Rollout

Analysts have maintained their fair value estimate for BioArctic at SEK 230.00. They have, however, adjusted assumptions related to the discount rate, revenue trends, profit margins, and future P/E to reflect updated views on the company’s risk profile and earnings potential.
Narrative Update Dec 26

BIOA B Future Long Term Margin Upside Will Not Offset Demand Risks

Analysts have modestly raised their price target on BioArctic to SEK 230 (from SEK 230 previously), reflecting slightly lower perceived risk and a substantially improved long term profit margin outlook, despite marginally weaker revenue growth assumptions and a lower projected future P/E multiple. What's in the News Leqembi, developed by BioArctic and Eisai, has been included in China’s new Commercial Insurance Innovative Drug List.
Narrative Update Dec 12

BIOA B: Future Revenue Weakness Will Outweigh Expanding Alzheimer’s Market Approval

Analysts have reduced their price target on BioArctic from SEK 280 to SEK 230. This reflects a more cautious outlook on future revenue growth despite improved profitability expectations and a slightly higher discount rate.
Analysis Article Nov 16

BioArctic AB (publ) (STO:BIOA B) Just Released Its Third-Quarter Earnings: Here's What Analysts Think

It's been a pretty great week for BioArctic AB (publ) ( STO:BIOA B ) shareholders, with its shares surging 12% to kr295...
Narrative Update Sep 17

Overhyped Valuations Will Falter Amid Healthcare Headwinds

Despite a significant improvement in BioArctic's net profit margin and a sharp decline in its future P/E multiple, the consensus analyst price target has been revised downward to SEK294.60. What's in the News FDA approved the Biologics License Application for weekly subcutaneous maintenance dosing of lecanemab (LEQEMBI IQLIK) for early Alzheimer's disease; U.S. launch set for October 6, 2025.
Narrative Update Sep 02

Regulatory Approvals And Pipeline Progress Will Redefine Neurodegeneration Care

BioArctic's consensus price target has been reduced to SEK280.50, primarily due to sharply lower revenue growth expectations and a significant drop in the projected future P/E multiple. What's in the News BioArctic entered an option, collaboration, and license agreement with Novartis Pharma involving its proprietary BrainTransporter technology for a potential neurodegeneration treatment, receiving USD 30 million upfront, with up to USD 772 million in potential milestone payments and tiered royalties.
Analysis Article Aug 14

Revenues Not Telling The Story For BioArctic AB (publ) (STO:BIOA B) After Shares Rise 26%

OM:BIOA B 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore BioArctic's Fair Values from the Community and select yours Despite...
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New Narrative Jun 01

Regulatory Approvals And Pipeline Progress Will Redefine Neurodegeneration Care

Regulatory approvals and upcoming diagnostics are set to accelerate Leqembi adoption, expanding access and recurring royalty revenues from an underserved and growing patient base.
Analysis Article May 29

BioArctic's (STO:BIOA B) Solid Profits Have Weak Fundamentals

BioArctic AB (publ)'s ( STO:BIOA B ) robust earnings report didn't manage to move the market for its stock. Our...
Analysis Article May 16

Here's Why BioArctic AB (publ)'s (STO:BIOA B) CEO Compensation Is The Least Of Shareholders Concerns

Key Insights BioArctic will host its Annual General Meeting on 22nd of May CEO Gunilla Osswald's total compensation...
Analysis Article Feb 19

Need To Know: Analysts Are Much More Bullish On BioArctic AB (publ) (STO:BIOA B)

Shareholders in BioArctic AB (publ) ( STO:BIOA B ) may be thrilled to learn that the analysts have just delivered a...
Analysis Article Feb 18

Earnings Beat: BioArctic AB (publ) (STO:BIOA B) Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Lifting Their Forecasts

It's been a good week for BioArctic AB (publ) ( STO:BIOA B ) shareholders, because the company has just released its...
Analysis Article Jan 31

Analysts Just Published A Bright New Outlook For BioArctic AB (publ)'s (STO:BIOA B)

Shareholders in BioArctic AB (publ) ( STO:BIOA B ) may be thrilled to learn that the analysts have just delivered a...
Analysis Article Nov 27

Need To Know: Analysts Are Much More Bullish On BioArctic AB (publ) (STO:BIOA B)

Celebrations may be in order for BioArctic AB (publ) ( STO:BIOA B ) shareholders, with the analysts delivering a...
Analysis Article Sep 01

BioArctic AB (publ) (STO:BIOA B) Consensus Forecasts Have Become A Little Darker Since Its Latest Report

A week ago, BioArctic AB (publ) ( STO:BIOA B ) came out with a strong set of quarterly numbers that could potentially...
Analysis Article Aug 15

Need To Know: The Consensus Just Cut Its BioArctic AB (publ) (STO:BIOA B) Estimates For 2024

The analysts covering BioArctic AB (publ) ( STO:BIOA B ) delivered a dose of negativity to shareholders today, by...
Analysis Article Apr 13

Revenues Tell The Story For BioArctic AB (publ) (STO:BIOA B)

With a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 30.5x BioArctic AB (publ) ( STO:BIOA B ) may be sending very bearish signals...
Analysis Article Feb 19

News Flash: 6 Analysts Think BioArctic AB (publ) (STO:BIOA B) Earnings Are Under Threat

The latest analyst coverage could presage a bad day for BioArctic AB (publ) ( STO:BIOA B ), with the analysts making...

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

OM:BIOA B - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (SEK Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/20282,4329939819914
12/31/20271,7698428938564
12/31/20261,2753263333434
3/31/20261,1472131,2431,253N/A
12/31/20251,9991,0221,4211,431N/A
9/30/20251,9161,0001,0641,090N/A
6/30/20251,8601,0671,0251,051N/A
3/31/20251,517902-217-190N/A
12/31/2024257-177-343-316N/A
9/30/2024167-233-171-163N/A
6/30/2024299-88-142-134N/A
3/31/2024252-122-111-104N/A
12/31/2023616229302310N/A
9/30/2023607259113126N/A
6/30/2023617270284289N/A
3/31/2023619327294307N/A
12/31/2022229-11-44-32N/A
9/30/202223228-15-13N/A
6/30/202218-147-170-159N/A
3/31/202221-135-147-143N/A
12/31/202126-120-145-140N/A
9/30/202130-114-138-128N/A
6/30/202137-97-114-103N/A
3/31/202134-101-106-93N/A
12/31/202065-69-105-92N/A
9/30/202084-72-125-120N/A
6/30/202093-60-163-160N/A
3/31/202025278-46-43N/A
12/31/201928388N/A327N/A
9/30/2019779441N/A292N/A
6/30/2019852475N/A310N/A
3/31/2019729380N/A176N/A
12/31/2018722382N/A-200N/A
9/30/201825758N/A-157N/A
6/30/201819732N/A-149N/A
3/31/201819429N/A-139N/A
12/31/201715715N/A-135N/A
9/30/201719378N/A616N/A
6/30/201716071N/A630N/A
3/31/201712764N/A647N/A
12/31/201610658N/A675N/A
12/31/2015424N/A-16N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: BIOA B's forecast earnings growth (53.3% per year) is above the savings rate (2%).

Earnings vs Market: BIOA B's earnings (53.3% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the Swedish market (8.6% per year).

High Growth Earnings: BIOA B's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: BIOA B's revenue (28.7% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the Swedish market (-0.03% per year).

High Growth Revenue: BIOA B's revenue (28.7% per year) is forecast to grow faster than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: BIOA B's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (35.8%)


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/06/09 04:40
End of Day Share Price 2026/06/09 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

BioArctic AB (publ) is covered by 5 analysts. 4 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Kristofer Liljeberg-SvenssonDNB Carnegie
Rajan SharmaGoldman Sachs
Viktor SundbergNordea Markets