Stock Analysis

Fragbite Group AB (publ) (STO:FRAG) Stock's 62% Dive Might Signal An Opportunity But It Requires Some Scrutiny

OM:FRAG
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Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Fragbite Group AB (publ) (STO:FRAG) share price has dived 62% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 99% loss during that time.

Even after such a large drop in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Fragbite Group's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.2x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Entertainment industry in Sweden, where the median P/S ratio is around 0.7x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

View our latest analysis for Fragbite Group

ps-multiple-vs-industry
OM:FRAG Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry August 14th 2024

How Fragbite Group Has Been Performing

With revenue growth that's inferior to most other companies of late, Fragbite Group has been relatively sluggish. It might be that many expect the uninspiring revenue performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/S ratio from falling. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Fragbite Group will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Fragbite Group's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 6.1% last year. Spectacularly, three year revenue growth has ballooned by several orders of magnitude, even though the last 12 months were fairly tame in comparison. Accordingly, shareholders would have been over the moon with those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the one analyst covering the company suggest revenue growth will be highly resilient over the next year growing by 81%. That would be an excellent outcome when the industry is expected to decline by 2.3%.

In light of this, it's peculiar that Fragbite Group's P/S sits in-line with the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders are skeptical of the contrarian forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.

What Does Fragbite Group's P/S Mean For Investors?

Following Fragbite Group's share price tumble, its P/S is just clinging on to the industry median P/S. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We note that even though Fragbite Group trades at a similar P/S as the rest of the industry, it far eclipses them in terms of forecasted revenue growth. There could be some unobserved threats to revenue preventing the P/S ratio from matching the positive outlook. One such risk is that the company may not live up to analysts' revenue trajectories in tough industry conditions. It appears some are indeed anticipating revenue instability, because the company's current prospects should normally provide a boost to the share price.

Plus, you should also learn about these 4 warning signs we've spotted with Fragbite Group.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.