Stock Analysis

Getting In Cheap On Alpcot Holding AB (publ) (STO:ALPCOT B) Might Be Difficult

OM:ALPCOT B
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When close to half the companies in the Interactive Media and Services industry in Sweden have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.2x, you may consider Alpcot Holding AB (publ) (STO:ALPCOT B) as a stock to potentially avoid with its 1.7x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/S.

See our latest analysis for Alpcot Holding

ps-multiple-vs-industry
OM:ALPCOT B Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry November 24th 2023

What Does Alpcot Holding's Recent Performance Look Like?

Alpcot Holding certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing its revenue at a really rapid pace. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to outperform the wider market, which has seemingly got people interested in the stock. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Alpcot Holding's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Alpcot Holding's Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as high as Alpcot Holding's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 51%. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 259% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 21% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this information, we can see why Alpcot Holding is trading at such a high P/S compared to the industry. Presumably shareholders aren't keen to offload something they believe will continue to outmanoeuvre the wider industry.

What Does Alpcot Holding's P/S Mean For Investors?

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that Alpcot Holding maintains its high P/S on the strength of its recent three-year growth being higher than the wider industry forecast, as expected. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/S as they are quite confident revenue aren't under threat. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with Alpcot Holding, and understanding these should be part of your investment process.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.