Essity AB (publ)

OM:ESSITY B Stock Report

Market Cap: SEK 174.2b

Essity Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

Essity is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 5.2% and 2.7% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 5.8% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 14.4% in 3 years.

Key information

5.2%

Earnings growth rate

5.76%

EPS growth rate

Household Products earnings growth0.5%
Revenue growth rate2.7%
Future return on equity14.37%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated01 Jun 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Narrative Update • May 20

ESSITY B: Ongoing Pricing Roll Off Will Continue To Pressure Sentiment

Essity's analyst price targets have been trimmed again, with recent SEK cuts from multiple banks leaving the updated fair value at SEK 215.00. Analysts are factoring in ongoing pricing roll off and limited signs of stabilization in weaker categories.
Narrative Update • May 05

ESSITY B: Pricing Roll Off And JPMorgan Downgrade Will Pressure Sentiment

Essity's analyst fair value estimate has shifted from SEK 220.0 to SEK 215.0 as analysts factor in a slightly higher discount rate, updated views on revenue growth and margins, and a series of recent SEK price target cuts from major banks. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Essity has tilted more cautious, with several bearish analysts cutting SEK price targets and, in one case, JPMorgan moving to a more negative stance on the stock.
Narrative Update • Apr 21

ESSITY B: Neutral Stance As Pricing Roll Off And Categories Remain Mixed

Essity's analyst price target has been trimmed from about SEK 278 to SEK 266, as analysts factor in updated estimates, pricing roll off, and limited signs of stabilisation in weaker categories. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Essity has tilted cautious, with a series of price target cuts and at least one downgrade, as analysts refresh models following the FY25 results and updated outlook for 2026.
Narrative Update • Apr 06

ESSITY B: Pricing Roll Off Into 2026 Will Keep Sentiment Cautious

Essity's analyst fair value has been trimmed from SEK 235.0 to SEK 220.0 as analysts factor in recent price target cuts, as well as ongoing concerns around pricing roll off and weaker categories showing limited signs of stabilizing. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Essity has leaned cautious, with several bearish analysts trimming price targets and revisiting their assumptions after the latest FY25 results.
Narrative Update • Mar 22

ESSITY B: Pricing Roll Off And Weaker Categories Will Keep Sentiment Cautious

Essity's analyst price target has been trimmed by around SEK 15 to SEK 252, as analysts factor in updated FY25 results, ongoing pricing roll off into 2026, and limited signs of stabilization in some weaker categories. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research has tilted more cautious on Essity, with several bearish analysts trimming price targets and rethinking their stance on the shares.
Narrative Update • Mar 08

ESSITY B: Neutral View Balances Pricing Pressure With Firmer Margin Expectations

Narrative update on Essity Essity's analyst price target has edged down by SEK 4.71, with analysts citing slightly higher discount rates, softer revenue growth assumptions, and lower future P/E expectations, partly offset by firmer margin assumptions and recent Street research pointing to pricing pressure and weaker categories that show limited signs of stabilizing. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Essity has turned more cautious, with several houses trimming price targets or downgrading their stance.
Narrative Update • Feb 22

ESSITY B: Capital Returns And Sector Rebound Potential Will Drive Future Upside

Analysts have trimmed their Essity fair value estimate to SEK 320 from SEK 325, reflecting recent downgrades and a view that sector valuations may stay cheap despite only modest adjustments to growth, margin and P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research has tilted more cautious on Essity, with fair value estimates and price targets pointing to a muted near term setup for the shares.
Narrative Update • Feb 08

ESSITY B: Cautious Rating Shifts Will Keep Multiples Compressed

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Essity up from SEK 230 to SEK 235. This reflects updated views on its model and mixed recent research that includes both price target increases and downgrades to more cautious ratings.
Narrative Update • Jan 24

ESSITY B: Dividend And Buybacks Will Support Future Upside Potential

Analysts have kept their fair value estimate for Essity steady at SEK 325, with updated models that balance a higher assumed revenue growth rate against slightly lower profit margin expectations, as well as a modestly higher future P/E informed by recent Street price targets between SEK 267 and SEK 290 and a shift to more neutral ratings. Analyst Commentary Street research around Essity has become more balanced, but there are still clear pockets of optimism that matter if you are trying to gauge how supportive the external view is around the current fair value estimate of SEK 325.
Narrative Update • Jan 10

ESSITY B: Neutral Stance Will Meet Cost Savings And Decentralization Plan

Essity’s analyst fair value estimate has edged up from SEK 281.08 to SEK 282.29, reflecting modest model updates and mixed Street views as some analysts trim ratings and set price targets in the SEK 267 to SEK 290 range, while still seeing the shares as reasonably valued within staples. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Essity point to a mixed but generally balanced stance, with modest tweaks to models and price targets rather than big swings in conviction.
Narrative Update • Dec 26

ESSITY B: Margin Discipline And Cost Savings Will Drive Future Upside Potential

Analysts have made only modest adjustments to their SEK price targets for Essity, with a small net decrease as updated post Q3 models reflect slightly softer long term revenue growth and margins, partially offset by expectations for a marginally higher future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts continue to view Essity's Q3 delivery as broadly supportive of the equity story, with updated models signaling confidence in the company’s ability to defend margins and gradually reaccelerate growth.
Narrative Update • Dec 12

ESSITY B: Margin And Cost Savings Progress Will Support Upside Potential

Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Essity to SEK 325 from SEK 330, reflecting a slightly higher assumed discount rate, even as they factor in marginally stronger long term revenue growth, improved profit margins, and a modestly lower future P E multiple following recent Street target revisions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research reflects a more constructive stance on Essity's medium term prospects, with bullish analysts incrementally lifting price targets and refining their models following the Q3 report.
Narrative Update • Oct 22

Analysts Cite Trough Valuation and Limited Catalysts as Essity Price Targets Edge Lower

Analysts have slightly decreased their price target for Essity, lowering it by approximately SEK 1. This adjustment reflects a continued cautious outlook as recent research points to limited immediate catalysts for the shares.
Narrative Update • Oct 08

Demand In Feminine Care And Incontinence Will Expand Internationally

Analysts have lowered their fair value target for Essity from SEK 285.25 to SEK 282.33. They cite concerns about structural pressures and a lack of near-term catalysts, even though there are some positive longer-term trends in higher margin segments.
Narrative Update • Sep 24

Demand In Feminine Care And Incontinence Will Expand Internationally

Essity's consensus price target was revised slightly lower to SEK285.25 amid sector-wide pressures, a shift toward higher-margin segments lacking near-term catalysts, and concerns over potential sales shortfalls. Analyst Commentary Analysts see Essity trading at a trough valuation as it shifts focus away from tissue towards higher-margin segments, but lack near-term catalysts for upward share price movement.
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New Narrative • Nov 07

Consumer Goods Innovation And Emerging Market Expansion Propel Thriving Growth

Growth in high-margin categories aims to improve net margins and profitability through stronger product mix and pricing strategies.

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

OM:ESSITY B - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (SEK Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/2028147,45114,19512,99821,47712
12/31/2027143,83513,31111,90619,99814
12/31/2026139,10912,10010,26919,60314
3/31/2026136,69512,4749,57116,782N/A
12/31/2025138,49412,6568,35615,459N/A
9/30/2025141,60412,2266,35213,648N/A
6/30/2025143,24012,2957,91315,036N/A
3/31/2025145,67212,4798,87716,052N/A
12/31/2024145,54611,8739,36616,801N/A
9/30/2024144,36611,88814,17221,251N/A
6/30/2024145,1849,97616,08023,412N/A
3/31/2024145,6459,12715,66422,738N/A
12/31/2023147,1479,27514,67821,568N/A
9/30/2023129,5037,79211,78316,952N/A
6/30/2023132,5207,8617,12012,241N/A
3/31/2023133,3716,9737,63212,876N/A
12/31/2022131,3204,6687,44412,874N/A
9/30/2022146,5655,3407,01213,992N/A
6/30/2022137,6016,5098,01515,205N/A
3/31/2022128,6406,7947,79415,250N/A
12/31/2021101,4666,8239,44614,667N/A
9/30/2021118,5979,2787,49515,291N/A
6/30/2021116,1298,8076,65914,140N/A
3/31/2021115,5689,1258,83215,757N/A
12/31/2020121,75210,22811,21217,819N/A
9/30/2020124,48210,30412,27218,312N/A
6/30/2020128,37010,51614,30319,826N/A
3/31/2020132,03110,70213,91119,425N/A
12/31/2019128,9759,216N/A19,351N/A
9/30/2019126,4019,903N/A18,172N/A
6/30/2019123,4838,414N/A16,442N/A
3/31/2019121,1368,175N/A14,654N/A
12/31/2018118,5007,886N/A13,160N/A
9/30/2018116,0527,372N/A12,471N/A
6/30/2018113,5838,474N/A12,432N/A
3/31/2018112,0178,116N/A12,246N/A
12/31/2017109,2658,116N/A12,729N/A
9/30/2017107,3736,212N/A12,884N/A
6/30/2017105,4305,853N/A13,113N/A
3/31/2017102,2583,748N/A13,968N/A
12/31/2016101,2383,800N/A12,778N/A
12/31/201598,5196,129N/A10,780N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: ESSITY B's forecast earnings growth (5.2% per year) is above the savings rate (2%).

Earnings vs Market: ESSITY B's earnings (5.2% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the Swedish market (8.7% per year).

High Growth Earnings: ESSITY B's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: ESSITY B's revenue (2.7% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the Swedish market (0.1% per year).

High Growth Revenue: ESSITY B's revenue (2.7% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: ESSITY B's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (14.4%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/06/02 12:21
End of Day Share Price 2026/06/02 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Essity AB (publ) is covered by 24 analysts. 14 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
null nullABG Sundal Collier
Patrick FolanBarclays
Iain SimpsonBarclays