Stock Analysis

Does John Mattson Fastighetsföretagen (STO:JOMA) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

OM:JOMA
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that John Mattson Fastighetsföretagen AB (publ) (STO:JOMA) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for John Mattson Fastighetsföretagen

What Is John Mattson Fastighetsföretagen's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that John Mattson Fastighetsföretagen had kr8.92b of debt in December 2022, down from kr9.47b, one year before. Net debt is about the same, since the it doesn't have much cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
OM:JOMA Debt to Equity History March 21st 2023

How Strong Is John Mattson Fastighetsföretagen's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that John Mattson Fastighetsföretagen had liabilities of kr2.76b falling due within a year, and liabilities of kr8.02b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had kr60.5m in cash and kr75.9m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling kr10.6b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the kr2.66b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, John Mattson Fastighetsföretagen would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

As it happens John Mattson Fastighetsföretagen has a fairly concerning net debt to EBITDA ratio of 25.2 but very strong interest coverage of 1k. This means that unless the company has access to very cheap debt, that interest expense will likely grow in the future. It is well worth noting that John Mattson Fastighetsföretagen's EBIT shot up like bamboo after rain, gaining 75% in the last twelve months. That'll make it easier to manage its debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine John Mattson Fastighetsföretagen's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. In the last three years, John Mattson Fastighetsföretagen's free cash flow amounted to 32% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

Our View

On the face of it, John Mattson Fastighetsföretagen's net debt to EBITDA left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But at least it's pretty decent at covering its interest expense with its EBIT; that's encouraging. Once we consider all the factors above, together, it seems to us that John Mattson Fastighetsföretagen's debt is making it a bit risky. Some people like that sort of risk, but we're mindful of the potential pitfalls, so we'd probably prefer it carry less debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for John Mattson Fastighetsföretagen (of which 1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) you should know about.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.