Stock Analysis

AB Traction (STO:TRAC B) Has Announced That Its Dividend Will Be Reduced To SEK9.00

OM:TRAC B
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AB Traction's (STO:TRAC B) dividend is being reduced from last year's payment covering the same period to SEK9.00 on the 16th of May. However, the dividend yield of 3.5% is still a decent boost to shareholder returns.

AB Traction's Projected Earnings Seem Likely To Cover Future Distributions

A big dividend yield for a few years doesn't mean much if it can't be sustained. However, based ont he last payment, AB Traction was earning enough to cover the dividend pretty comfortably. The business is earning enough to make the dividend feasible, but the cash payout ratio of 95% shows that most of the cash is going back to the shareholders, which could constrain growth prospects going forward.

Looking forward, earnings per share could rise by 2.8% over the next year if the trend from the last few years continues. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could be 32% by next year, which is in a pretty sustainable range.

historic-dividend
OM:TRAC B Historic Dividend April 12th 2025

Check out our latest analysis for AB Traction

Dividend Volatility

The company has a long dividend track record, but it doesn't look great with cuts in the past. Since 2015, the annual payment back then was SEK2.00, compared to the most recent full-year payment of SEK9.00. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 16% over that duration. Despite the rapid growth in the dividend over the past number of years, we have seen the payments go down the past as well, so that makes us cautious.

AB Traction May Find It Hard To Grow The Dividend

Growing earnings per share could be a mitigating factor when considering the past fluctuations in the dividend. However, AB Traction has only grown its earnings per share at 2.8% per annum over the past five years. While EPS growth is quite low, AB Traction has the option to increase the payout ratio to return more cash to shareholders.

Our Thoughts On AB Traction's Dividend

Overall, the dividend looks like it may have been a bit high, which explains why it has now been cut. The low payout ratio is a redeeming feature, but generally we are not too happy with the payments AB Traction has been making. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.

It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. For example, we've picked out 1 warning sign for AB Traction that investors should know about before committing capital to this stock. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.