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Nordrest Holding (STO:NREST) Posted Healthy Earnings But There Are Some Other Factors To Be Aware Of
Despite announcing strong earnings, Nordrest Holding AB (publ)'s (STO:NREST) stock was sluggish. Our analysis uncovered some concerning factors that we believe the market might be paying attention to.
See our latest analysis for Nordrest Holding
Examining Cashflow Against Nordrest Holding's Earnings
In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.
That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".
Nordrest Holding has an accrual ratio of 1.03 for the year to September 2024. That means it didn't generate anywhere near enough free cash flow to match its profit. As a general rule, that bodes poorly for future profitability. In fact, it had free cash flow of kr64m in the last year, which was a lot less than its statutory profit of kr111.2m. We should mention, here, that Nordrest Holding free cashflow was as flat as a pancake over the last twelve months.
That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.
Our Take On Nordrest Holding's Profit Performance
As we discussed above, we think Nordrest Holding's earnings were not supported by free cash flow, which might concern some investors. For this reason, we think that Nordrest Holding's statutory profits may be a bad guide to its underlying earnings power, and might give investors an overly positive impression of the company. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. To help with this, we've discovered 2 warning signs (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that you ought to be aware of before buying any shares in Nordrest Holding.
Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Nordrest Holding's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Nordrest Holding might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
Access Free AnalysisHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About OM:NREST
Nordrest Holding
Operates as a foodservice company in Sweden and internationally.
Undervalued with high growth potential.
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