Stock Analysis

Axfood (STO:AXFO) Is Increasing Its Dividend To SEK4.50

The board of Axfood AB (publ) (STO:AXFO) has announced that it will be paying its dividend of SEK4.50 on the 26th of March, an increased payment from last year's comparable dividend. This will take the dividend yield to an attractive 3.7%, providing a nice boost to shareholder returns.

Check out our latest analysis for Axfood

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Axfood's Projected Earnings Seem Likely To Cover Future Distributions

A big dividend yield for a few years doesn't mean much if it can't be sustained. Before this announcement, Axfood was paying out 86% of earnings, but a comparatively small 48% of free cash flows. Since the dividend is just paying out cash to shareholders, we care more about the cash payout ratio from which we can see plenty is being left over for reinvestment in the business.

Looking forward, earnings per share is forecast to rise by 39.9% over the next year. Assuming the dividend continues along the course it has been charting recently, our estimates show the payout ratio being 66% which brings it into quite a comfortable range.

historic-dividend
OM:AXFO Historic Dividend March 17th 2025

Axfood Has A Solid Track Record

Even over a long history of paying dividends, the company's distributions have been remarkably stable. Since 2015, the dividend has gone from SEK4.25 total annually to SEK8.75. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 7.5% over that duration. The dividend has been growing very nicely for a number of years, and has given its shareholders some nice income in their portfolios.

We Could See Axfood's Dividend Growing

Investors who have held shares in the company for the past few years will be happy with the dividend income they have received. Axfood has seen EPS rising for the last five years, at 5.2% per annum. The payout ratio is very much on the higher end, which could mean that the growth rate will slow down in the future, and that could flow through to the dividend as well.

Our Thoughts On Axfood's Dividend

Overall, this is probably not a great income stock, even though the dividend is being raised at the moment. The company is generating plenty of cash, but we still think the dividend is a bit high for comfort. This company is not in the top tier of income providing stocks.

Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. Earnings growth generally bodes well for the future value of company dividend payments. See if the 5 Axfood analysts we track are forecasting continued growth with our free report on analyst estimates for the company. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About OM:AXFO

Axfood

Engages in the food retail and wholesale businesses primarily in Sweden.

Established dividend payer with reasonable growth potential.

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