Thule Group Future Growth
Future criteria checks 3/6
Thule Group is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 12.3% and 5% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 12.3% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 18% in 3 years.
Key information
12.3%
Earnings growth rate
12.27%
EPS growth rate
| Leisure earnings growth | 14.9% |
| Revenue growth rate | 5.0% |
| Future return on equity | 17.97% |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 06 May 2026 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
Narrative Update • May 03
THULE: Recent Upgrade And Revised Assumptions Will Support Constructive Future Upside
Analysts have nudged their price target for Thule Group higher from SEK 271.43 to SEK 276.88. They cited updated assumptions for fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E in the wake of more constructive Street research, including the recent SEB Equities upgrade.Narrative Update • Apr 18
THULE: Refined Assumptions And Constructive Research Will Shape Balanced Future Upside
Analysts have lifted their price target on Thule Group to SEK 271.43 per share, citing slightly adjusted assumptions around the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E, along with a more constructive stance in recent Street research. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research has become more constructive on Thule Group, with bullish analysts pointing to a stronger investment case under the updated assumptions on discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E.Narrative Update • Apr 04
THULE: Revised Assumptions And Constructive Research Will Support Long Term Upside
Analysts have lowered their average price target for Thule Group to SEK 271 from SEK 283. They cite updated assumptions for fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E after recent Street research turned more constructive on the shares.Narrative Update • Mar 21
THULE: Unchanged Fair Value And Stable Assumptions Will Support Long Term Upside
Analysts have kept their SEK 282.86 price target for Thule Group broadly unchanged, citing only very small adjustments to the discount rate, long term revenue growth, profit margin assumptions and future P/E expectations. Valuation Changes Fair Value: SEK 282.86 remains unchanged, indicating no adjustment to the estimated intrinsic value per share.Narrative Update • Mar 06
THULE: Steady Assumptions Will Support Long Term Upside Potential
Analysts have kept their SEK 282.86 price target on Thule Group broadly unchanged, citing only marginal adjustments in their discount rate, long term revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions, rather than any change in their overall view of the shares. Valuation Changes Fair Value: SEK 282.86 remains unchanged, indicating no adjustment to the analysts' central estimate for Thule Group's shares.Narrative Update • Feb 20
THULE: Add On M&A Will Support Long Term Upside Potential
Analysts have lifted their price target on Thule Group by SEK 5 to SEK 282.86, citing updated assumptions on fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E multiples. Valuation Changes Fair Value: updated slightly higher to SEK 282.86 from SEK 277.86.Narrative Update • Feb 05
THULE: Add On M&A Will Support Long Term Upside Potential
Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Thule Group to SEK 277.86 from SEK 282.14, reflecting updated views on the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions. What's in the News Thule Group plans to pursue add on M&A using available funds, focusing on opportunities that support existing product champions or help build new ones (Capital Markets Day 2025).Narrative Update • Jan 22
THULE: Selective Add On Deals Will Drive Long Term Upside
Analysts have made a small downward adjustment to their fair value estimate for Thule Group to SEK 282.14 from SEK 282.50, reflecting updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples. What's in the News Thule Group highlighted M&A as its third capital allocation priority at its Capital Markets Day 2025, focusing on selective add on deals that support existing product champions or build new ones (Capital Markets Day 2025).Narrative Update • Jan 08
THULE: Disciplined Add On M&A Will Support Long Term Upside
Analysts have slightly adjusted their price view on Thule Group, trimming the fair value estimate from SEK 284.17 to SEK 282.50 as they fine tune assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, and the future P/E multiple. What's in the News Thule Group plans to pursue selective add on M&A using available funds, as outlined at its Capital Markets Day 2025, with a focus on supporting existing product champions or building new ones (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Dec 22
THULE: Disciplined Add On Acquisitions Will Deliver Attractive Long Term Upside
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Thule Group by approximately SEK 6 to around SEK 284. This reflects slightly lower long term revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, as well as a marginally higher discount rate, even as future valuation multiples remain broadly unchanged.Narrative Update • Dec 07
THULE: Future Add-On Acquisitions Will Drive Attractive Long-Term Upside Potential
Analysts have modestly raised their price target on Thule Group to SEK 290.00. This reflects slightly higher discount rate assumptions while maintaining largely unchanged expectations for revenue growth, profit margins, and future valuation multiples.Narrative Update • Nov 23
THULE: Future Mergers And Acquisitions Will Drive Long-Term Value
Narrative Update on Thule Group: Analyst Price Target Revision Analysts have maintained Thule Group's fair value estimate at SEK 290.00 per share. This reflects stable expectations, as modest improvements in profit margin are offset by a slightly lower forward price-to-earnings multiple.Narrative Update • Nov 03
THULE: Improved Margins And Lower Discount Rate Will Drive Future Upside
Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Thule Group from SEK 288 to SEK 290. They cite modestly improved profit margins and a slightly lower discount rate as key factors in the upward revision.Narrative Update • Oct 20
Quad Lock And North America Focus Will Secure Future Success
Analysts have revised their fair value estimate for Thule Group downward from SEK 294 to SEK 288. This change reflects modest adjustments to revenue growth and profit margin expectations.Narrative Update • Oct 05
Quad Lock And North America Focus Will Secure Future Success
Analysts have lowered their fair value estimate for Thule Group from SEK 317 to SEK 294, citing moderating revenue growth and profit margin forecasts. They acknowledge improving conditions after recent results.Narrative Update • Sep 20
Quad Lock And North America Focus Will Secure Future Success
Analysts have modestly lowered Thule Group’s price target to SEK317, citing recent Q2 results as an inflection point with margin pressures now easing and a more constructive outlook for H2 2024, supporting expectations for improved operating leverage and near-term recovery. Analyst Commentary Q2 results indicate a turning point in company performance for 2025.Analysis Article • Apr 10
Thule Group AB (publ) (STO:THULE) Shares May Have Slumped 31% But Getting In Cheap Is Still Unlikely
The Thule Group AB (publ) ( STO:THULE ) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial...Analysis Article • Mar 27
Thule Group (STO:THULE) Is Reducing Its Dividend To SEK4.15
Thule Group AB (publ) ( STO:THULE ) is reducing its dividend from last year's comparable payment to SEK4.15 on the 7th...Analysis Article • Mar 17
Estimating The Intrinsic Value Of Thule Group AB (publ) (STO:THULE)
Key Insights Thule Group's estimated fair value is kr393 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Current share price...Analysis Article • Mar 05
Is Thule Group (STO:THULE) A Risky Investment?
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...Analysis Article • Feb 21
Thule Group's (STO:THULE) Shareholders Will Receive A Smaller Dividend Than Last Year
Thule Group AB (publ) ( STO:THULE ) is reducing its dividend from last year's comparable payment to SEK4.15 on the 7th...Analysis Article • Feb 21
Is Now An Opportune Moment To Examine Thule Group AB (publ) (STO:THULE)?
While Thule Group AB (publ) ( STO:THULE ) might not have the largest market cap around , it saw a decent share price...Analysis Article • Jan 23
What Thule Group AB (publ)'s (STO:THULE) P/E Is Not Telling You
Thule Group AB (publ)'s ( STO:THULE ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 31.9x might make it look like a sell right...Analysis Article • Jan 11
Slowing Rates Of Return At Thule Group (STO:THULE) Leave Little Room For Excitement
To find a multi-bagger stock, what are the underlying trends we should look for in a business? Firstly, we'd want to...
New Narrative • Dec 25
Award-Winning Premium Products And D2C Expansion Will Drive Sustained Revenue And Profit Growth
New product launches, particularly in premium bike carriers and juvenile/pet segments, are key drivers of Thule's revenue growth.Analysis Article • Nov 16
Analysts Are Betting On Thule Group AB (publ) (STO:THULE) With A Big Upgrade This Week
Thule Group AB (publ) ( STO:THULE ) shareholders will have a reason to smile today, with the analysts making...Analysis Article • Nov 07
Thule Group (STO:THULE) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's...Analysis Article • Oct 26
Results: Thule Group AB (publ) Beat Earnings Expectations And Analysts Now Have New Forecasts
Shareholders of Thule Group AB (publ) ( STO:THULE ) will be pleased this week, given that the stock price is up 14% to...Analysis Article • Oct 17
Calculating The Fair Value Of Thule Group AB (publ) (STO:THULE)
Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Thule Group fair value estimate is kr333 With kr302 share...Analysis Article • Sep 18
Investors Met With Slowing Returns on Capital At Thule Group (STO:THULE)
If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. In a perfect world, we'd like to see...Analysis Article • Aug 31
Getting In Cheap On Thule Group AB (publ) (STO:THULE) Is Unlikely
Thule Group AB (publ)'s ( STO:THULE ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 28.6x might make it look like a sell right...Analysis Article • Aug 19
Thule Group (STO:THULE) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of SEK4.75
Thule Group AB (publ) ( STO:THULE ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of SEK4.75 per share on the 10th of...Analysis Article • Aug 16
At kr290, Is It Time To Put Thule Group AB (publ) (STO:THULE) On Your Watch List?
While Thule Group AB (publ) ( STO:THULE ) might not have the largest market cap around , it received a lot of attention...Analysis Article • Aug 04
Is Thule Group (STO:THULE) Using Too Much Debt?
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...Analysis Article • Jul 22
Thule Group (STO:THULE) Has Announced A Dividend Of SEK4.75
Thule Group AB (publ) ( STO:THULE ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of SEK4.75 per share on the 10th of...Analysis Article • Jul 20
Analysts Are Updating Their Thule Group AB (publ) (STO:THULE) Estimates After Its Second-Quarter Results
As you might know, Thule Group AB (publ) ( STO:THULE ) last week released its latest quarterly, and things did not turn...Analysis Article • Jul 02
Calculating The Fair Value Of Thule Group AB (publ) (STO:THULE)
Key Insights The projected fair value for Thule Group is kr329 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Current share...Analysis Article • Jun 20
Thule Group (STO:THULE) Will Pay A Dividend Of SEK4.75
Thule Group AB (publ)'s ( STO:THULE ) investors are due to receive a payment of SEK4.75 per share on 10th of October...Analysis Article • May 25
Thule Group (STO:THULE) Will Pay A Dividend Of SEK4.75
Thule Group AB (publ) ( STO:THULE ) will pay a dividend of SEK4.75 on the 10th of October. This takes the annual...Analysis Article • May 21
The Returns At Thule Group (STO:THULE) Aren't Growing
Finding a business that has the potential to grow substantially is not easy, but it is possible if we look at a few key...Analysis Article • May 09
Thule Group's (STO:THULE) Dividend Will Be SEK4.75
The board of Thule Group AB (publ) ( STO:THULE ) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 10th of October, with...Analysis Article • May 01
Thule Group AB (publ) (STO:THULE) Just Released Its First-Quarter Earnings: Here's What Analysts Think
Investors in Thule Group AB (publ) ( STO:THULE ) had a good week, as its shares rose 3.3% to close at kr314 following...Analysis Article • Apr 25
Thule Group's (STO:THULE) Upcoming Dividend Will Be Larger Than Last Year's
Thule Group AB (publ)'s ( STO:THULE ) dividend will be increasing from last year's payment of the same period to...Analysis Article • Apr 20
Thule Group AB (publ)'s (STO:THULE) Price Is Out Of Tune With Earnings
When close to half the companies in Sweden have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 21x, you may consider Thule...Analysis Article • Apr 07
Is Now The Time To Look At Buying Thule Group AB (publ) (STO:THULE)?
While Thule Group AB (publ) ( STO:THULE ) might not have the largest market cap around , it received a lot of attention...Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 11,831 | 1,605 | 1,493 | 1,784 | 6 |
| 12/31/2027 | 11,175 | 1,434 | 1,375 | 1,660 | 7 |
| 12/31/2026 | 10,539 | 1,276 | 1,335 | 1,734 | 7 |
| 3/31/2026 | 10,340 | 1,141 | 1,084 | 1,491 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 10,429 | 1,114 | 784 | 1,132 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 10,272 | 1,055 | 1,145 | 1,464 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 10,087 | 1,042 | 1,538 | 1,751 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 9,783 | 1,088 | 1,615 | 1,887 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 9,541 | 1,122 | 2,046 | 2,310 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 9,429 | 1,183 | 1,931 | 2,199 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 9,396 | 1,144 | 1,789 | 2,082 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 9,326 | 1,124 | 1,696 | 1,920 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 9,132 | 1,099 | 1,599 | 1,850 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 9,217 | 1,059 | 1,452 | 1,685 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 9,045 | 935 | 1,100 | 1,390 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 9,330 | 1,023 | 806 | 1,161 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 10,138 | 1,275 | 172 | 616 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 10,333 | 1,445 | -373 | 161 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 10,966 | 1,824 | -378 | 152 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 10,882 | 1,870 | -69 | 530 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 10,386 | 1,790 | 621 | 1,128 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 10,145 | 1,800 | 1,385 | 1,792 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 9,809 | 1,732 | 1,695 | 2,022 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 8,622 | 1,372 | 1,499 | 1,678 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 7,828 | 1,166 | 1,441 | 1,614 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 7,434 | 1,031 | 1,295 | 1,469 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 6,680 | 763 | 1,100 | 1,276 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 6,948 | 871 | 1,007 | 1,183 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 7,038 | 883 | N/A | 1,030 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 6,984 | 897 | N/A | 872 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 6,863 | 905 | N/A | 799 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 6,707 | 870 | N/A | 675 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 6,484 | 837 | N/A | 606 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 6,333 | 754 | N/A | 799 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 6,157 | 750 | N/A | 820 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 5,957 | 713 | N/A | 930 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 5,872 | 690 | N/A | 972 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 5,849 | 760 | N/A | 854 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 5,759 | 732 | N/A | 772 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 5,529 | 687 | N/A | 737 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 5,304 | 653 | N/A | 878 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 5,300 | 645 | N/A | 940 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 5,349 | 636 | N/A | 915 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 5,312 | 611 | N/A | 782 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 5,320 | 587 | N/A | 662 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 5,241 | 463 | N/A | 432 | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 5,079 | 396 | N/A | 407 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: THULE's forecast earnings growth (12.3% per year) is above the savings rate (2%).
Earnings vs Market: THULE's earnings (12.3% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the Swedish market (8.9% per year).
High Growth Earnings: THULE's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.
Revenue vs Market: THULE's revenue (5% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the Swedish market (0.1% per year).
High Growth Revenue: THULE's revenue (5% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: THULE's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (18%).
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/08 04:28 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/08 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
| |
| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Thule Group AB (publ) is covered by 15 analysts. 7 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| null null | ABG Sundal Collier |
| Lars Topholm | Carnegie Investment Bank AB |
| Daniel Schmidt | Danske Bank |