Asmodee Group AB (publ) Just Reported A Surprise Loss: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

Shareholders might have noticed that Asmodee Group AB (publ) (STO:ASMDEE B) filed its quarterly result this time last week. The early response was not positive, with shares down 4.5% to kr122 in the past week. Revenues beat expectations by 14% to hit €349m, although earnings fell badly short, with Asmodee Group reported a statutory loss of €0.0068 per share even though the analysts had been forecasting a profit. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. With this in mind, we've gathered the latest statutory forecasts to see what the analysts are expecting for next year.

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After the latest results, the four analysts covering Asmodee Group are now predicting revenues of €1.52b in 2026. If met, this would reflect an okay 4.6% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to bounce 895% to €0.42. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of €1.48b and earnings per share (EPS) of €0.40 in 2026. So there seems to have been a moderate uplift in sentiment following the latest results, given the upgrades to both revenue and earnings per share forecasts for next year.

See our latest analysis for Asmodee Group

Althoughthe analysts have upgraded their earnings estimates, there was no change to the consensus price target of kr139, suggesting that the forecast performance does not have a long term impact on the company's valuation. There's another way to think about price targets though, and that's to look at the range of price targets put forward by analysts, because a wide range of estimates could suggest a diverse view on possible outcomes for the business. The most optimistic Asmodee Group analyst has a price target of kr150 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at kr120. Even so, with a relatively close grouping of estimates, it looks like the analysts are quite confident in their valuations, suggesting Asmodee Group is an easy business to forecast or the the analysts are all using similar assumptions.

These estimates are interesting, but it can be useful to paint some more broad strokes when seeing how forecasts compare, both to the Asmodee Group's past performance and to peers in the same industry. We would highlight that Asmodee Group's revenue growth is expected to slow, with the forecast 6.2% annualised growth rate until the end of 2026 being well below the historical 12% growth over the last year. Compare this to the 6 other companies in this industry with analyst coverage, which are forecast to grow their revenue at 5.6% per year. Factoring in the forecast slowdown in growth, it looks like Asmodee Group is forecast to grow at about the same rate as the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing here is that the analysts upgraded their earnings per share estimates, suggesting that there has been a clear increase in optimism towards Asmodee Group following these results. There was also an upgrade to revenue estimates, although as we saw earlier, forecast growth is only expected to be about the same as the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

Following on from that line of thought, we think that the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. We have estimates - from multiple Asmodee Group analysts - going out to 2028, and you can see them free on our platform here.

Even so, be aware that Asmodee Group is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.