When it comes to investing, there are some useful financial metrics that can warn us when a business is potentially in trouble. A business that's potentially in decline often shows two trends, a return on capital employed (ROCE) that's declining, and a base of capital employed that's also declining. Basically the company is earning less on its investments and it is also reducing its total assets. On that note, looking into Wise Group (STO:WISE), we weren't too upbeat about how things were going.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Wise Group:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.17 = kr20m ÷ (kr293m - kr174m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2020).
Thus, Wise Group has an ROCE of 17%. In absolute terms, that's a satisfactory return, but compared to the Professional Services industry average of 9.7% it's much better.
See our latest analysis for Wise Group
Historical performance is a great place to start when researching a stock so above you can see the gauge for Wise Group's ROCE against it's prior returns. If you're interested in investigating Wise Group's past further, check out this free graph of past earnings, revenue and cash flow.
How Are Returns Trending?
In terms of Wise Group's historical ROCE movements, the trend doesn't inspire confidence. About five years ago, returns on capital were 30%, however they're now substantially lower than that as we saw above. Meanwhile, capital employed in the business has stayed roughly the flat over the period. Companies that exhibit these attributes tend to not be shrinking, but they can be mature and facing pressure on their margins from competition. So because these trends aren't typically conducive to creating a multi-bagger, we wouldn't hold our breath on Wise Group becoming one if things continue as they have.
On a side note, Wise Group's current liabilities have increased over the last five years to 60% of total assets, effectively distorting the ROCE to some degree. If current liabilities hadn't increased as much as they did, the ROCE could actually be even lower. And with current liabilities at these levels, suppliers or short-term creditors are effectively funding a large part of the business, which can introduce some risks.
The Bottom Line
All in all, the lower returns from the same amount of capital employed aren't exactly signs of a compounding machine. And, the stock has remained flat over the last five years, so investors don't seem too impressed either. With underlying trends that aren't great in these areas, we'd consider looking elsewhere.
If you'd like to know more about Wise Group, we've spotted 4 warning signs, and 1 of them is a bit unpleasant.
If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.
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About OM:WISE
Wise Group
Engages in the provision of recruitment and consultancy services in Sweden, Finland, and Denmark.
Flawless balance sheet and slightly overvalued.