Transfer Group AB (publ)

NGM:TRNSF Stock Report

Market Cap: SEK 78.2m

Transfer Group Valuation

Is TRNSF undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of TRNSF when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: TRNSF (SEK0.25) is trading below our estimate of fair value (SEK2.67)

Significantly Below Fair Value: TRNSF is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TRNSF?

Key metric: As TRNSF is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for TRNSF. This is calculated by dividing TRNSF's market cap by their current revenue.
What is TRNSF's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.2x
SalesSEK 357.22m
Market CapSEK 78.20m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does TRNSF's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for TRNSF vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.3x
IRIS Irisity
0.6x13.2%SEK 84.7m
TSEC Tempest Security
0.2xn/aSEK 120.6m
SECI SECITS Holding
0.08xn/aSEK 8.0m
SAXG Saxlund Group
0.2xn/aSEK 71.3m
TRNSF Transfer Group
0.2xn/aSEK 78.2m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: TRNSF is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the peer average (0.3x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does TRNSF's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the SE Commercial Services Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
BONG Bong
0.09xn/aUS$15.18m
GIAB Godsinlösen Nordic
0.1x4.7%US$1.20m
SECI SECITS Holding
0.08xn/aUS$726.91k
No more companies available in this PS range
TRNSF 0.2xIndustry Avg. 0.5xNo. of Companies5PS00.40.81.21.62+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: TRNSF is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the Swedish Commercial Services industry average (0.5x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TRNSF's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TRNSF PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.2x
Fair PS Ration/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate TRNSF's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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